Monday (09/06/2014) Early BIRD Fundamental Perspective (Edwin
Sebayang CSA®-MNC Securities)
Setelah DJIA selama 1 minggu lalu naik +207.11 poin (+1.24%) dilevel tertinggi baru 16924.28, maka kenaikan DJIA lebih lanjut salah satunya akan ditentukan bagaimana kinerja data Retail Sales bulan Mei yang akan diannounce Kamis sebagai satu satu bukti apakah GDP AS akan rebound dikuartal 2/2014 dimana perkiraan sementara GDP AS dikuartal 2/2014 akan tumbuh dalam range 3.9%-4.2%, setelah dikuartal 1/2014 GDP AS tumbuh mengecewakan hanya 0.1%.Bukan hanya sedang menunggu data retail sales, tetapi investor juga menunggu data Producer Price Index & Consumer Sentiment yang akan direlease jumat, tetapi investor juga mulai memperhitungkan apakah DJIA mulai menjadi overvaluaed & berapa PE Forward dari DJIA ditengah masih rendahnya Fed Rate.Setelah selama minggu lalu IHSG menguat +42.27 poin (+0.88%) tetapi disertai kejatuhan Rupiah atas US Dollar -1.32% dilevel 11,830, maka IHSG selama minggu ini diperkirakan bergerak sideways cenderung sepi akibat minimnya sentimen positif dari dalam negeri ditengah akan dimulainya perlehatan World Cup sehingga sebagian dana dikhawatirkan akan pindah kepasar taruhan bola.Khusus perdagangan dihari Senin, ES memperkirakan IHSG berpeluang menguat terbatas merujuk kenaikan EIDO +1.13% & DJIA +88.17 poin (+0.52%) terlebih jika Rupiah bisa menguat lebih lanjut atas US Dollar.
DJIA +88.17 +0.52% 16924.28
NASDAQ +25.17 +0.59% 4321.4
VIX -0.95 -8.13% 10.73
OIL +0.18 +0.18% 102.66
GOLD -0.8 -0.06% 1252.5
TIN -50 -0.21% 23,195
NICKEL -155 -0.81% 18,875
CPO -3 -0.12% 2,414
EIDO +0.31 +1.13% $27.71
TLK 42.31 (2,502)
IDR 11,830
Monday IDX Range: 4,924 - 4,971
BUY: UNTR, ASII, PGAS, INTP, UNVR, SMGR, GGRM, TLKM, BWPT, BBCA, ITMG, CTRA, SIMP, ICBP (ES CSA®-MNC Sec/Disc On)"Have an Unbelievable Monday & GBU All"
Monday (09/06/2014) Early BIRD Technical Prespective (Edwin Sebayang CSA®-MNC Sec)
IDX Composite 4,924 - 4,971
Pola Inverted Hammer terbentuk atas IDX mengindikasikan pergerakan sideways.
Monday Stocks Pick:
UNTR 22600-23125 (TP 2014F:23600) Pola Three White Soldiers terbentuk atas UNTR mengindikasikan Bullish Continuation. BUY 22800
ASII 7100-7350 (TP 2014F:7950) Pola White Short Candle terbentuk atas ASII mengindikasikan Bullish Reversal. BUY 7175
PGAS 5275-5575 (TP 2014F:5800) Pola Two White Soldiers terbentuk atas PGAS mengindikasikan Bullish Continuation. BUY 5375
INTP 23225-244025 (TP 2014F:25800) Pola White Candle terbentuk atas INTP mengindikasikan Bullish Reversal. BUY 23575
UNVR 30300-30675 (TP 2014F:33500). Pola Dragonfly Doji terbentuk atas UNVR mengindikasikan melambatnya aksi beli. BUY 30450
SMGR 15200-15475 (TP 2014F:18000) Pola Five White Soldiers terbentuk atas SMGR mengindikasikan Bullish Continuation. BUY 15300
GGRM 53600-55150 (TP 2014F:59950) Pola White Candle terbentuk atas GGRM mengindikasikan Bullish Reversal. BUY 54200
TLKM 2495-2560 (TP 2014F:2700) Pola White Short Candle terbentuk atas TLKM mengindikasikan Bullish Reversal. BUY 2520
BWPT 1275-1325 (TP 2014F:1500) Pola Homing Pigeon terbentuk atas BWPT mengindikasikan munculnya aksi beli. BUY 1285
BBCA 10950-11150 (TP 2014F:12750) Pola Homing Pigeon terbentuk atas BBCA mengindikasikan melambatnya profit taking. BUY 11025
ITMG 29400-29900 (TP 2014F:31300) Pola Homing Pigeon terbentuk atas ITMG mengindikasikan melambatnya profit taking. BUY 29575
CTRA 1075-1125 (TP 2014F:1350) Pola Hammer terbentuk atas CTRA mengindikasikan melambatnya aksi beli. BUY 1090
SIMP 1010-1040 (TP 2014F:1100) Pola Four Price Doji terbentuk atas SIMP mengindikasikan sideways. BUY 1015
ICBP 9975-10200 (TP 2014F:12650) Pola White Candle terbentuk atas ICBP mengindikasikan munculnya aksi beli. BUY 10075 (ES CSA®-MNC Sec/Disc On)
» GLOBAL DATA MARKETs
(By: D'ORIGIN; Source: BN, CNBC, Krishna, Desy)
DJIA.........16924 +88.2 +0.52%
S&P 500....1949 +8.98 +0.46%
Nasdaq......4321 +25.2 +0.59%
FTSE..........6858 +44.7 +0.66%
CAC...........4581 +32.4 +0.71%
DAX...........9987 +39.4 +0.40%
Nikkei......15077 -2.13 -0.01%
HSI..........22951 -159. -0.69%
Sensex....25396 +377. +1.51%
US10Yr.......2.59 +0.01 +0.38%
Indo10Yr. 8.1949 -0.01 -0.09%
EUR........1.3643 -0.00 -0.15%
IDR(JISDOR)...11823 -51.00 -0.43%
IDR(NDF)..............11837 -22.5 -0.19%
EIDO.........27.71 +0.31 +1.13%
EEM..........43.56 +0.43 +1.00%
TLK...........42.31 +0.04 +0.09%
ARMS Plc..200.7 +2.75 +1.39%
WTI..........102.7 +0.18 +0.18%
GOLD......1253 -0.44 -0.04%
TIN...........23100 0.00. 0.00%
NICKEL....18750 -240. -1.26%
COAL........72.95 -0.95 -1.28%
CPO.....RM2420. -5.00 -0.21%($753)
CORN.........459.00 +10.00+2.23%
SoybeanOil.39.01. +0.32 +0.83%
WHEAT......618.25 +12.50 +2.06%
:::» High-Low Tin Price «:::
- 2010: H 27.350, L 15.200
- 2011: H 33.300, L 18.525
- 2012: H 25.500, L 17.345
- 2013: H 25.025, L 18.850
- 2014: H 23.700, L 21.500
:::» High-Low Nickel Price «:::
- 2010: H 27.290, L 17.050
- 2011: H 29.300, L 16.750
- 2012: H 21.800, L 15.250
- 2013: H 18.725, L 13.285
- 2014: H 21.150, L 13.413
:::» High-Low Palm Oil «:::
- 2010: H 3.780, L 2.384
- 2011: H 3.927, L 2.787
- 2012: H 3.568, L 2.027
- 2013: H 2.645, L 2.167
- 2014: H 2.922, L 2.494
:::» High-Low Coal Price «:::
- 2010: H 126.10, L 88.00
- 2011: H 138.50, L 108.95
- 2012: H 118.95, L 78.05
- 2013: H 94.05, L 76.10
- 2014: H 84.25, L 72.75
:::» High-Low USD-IDR «:::
- 2010: H 9.428, L 8.891
- 2011: H 9.155, L 8.465
- 2012: H 9.705, L 8.935
- 2013: H 12.263, L 9.618
- 2014: H 12.240, L 11.288
:::» High-Low Gold Price«:::
- 2010: H 1.424, L 1.063
- 2011: H 1.900, L 1.314
- 2012: H 1.790, L 1.539
- 2013: H 1.693, L 1.189
- 2014: H 1.383, L 1.201
••••••
FOCUS NEXT WEEK (9-13 JUNI 2014) - TENTATIVE
1.PTBA : Tenor buyback dieksekusi mulai 10 Maret 2014 - 9 Juni 2014.
------------------------------
2.ROADSHOW/EVENT/CONFERENCE :
2.1.DB COMPANY ROADSHOWS :
-PT Bank Tabungan Negara Tbk: Company Update - HK 6/9-10
-Indonesia Banking & Telecom Sector Update - SG 6/9-11 & HK 6/12- 13
-PT Multipolar Tbk: Company Update - SG 6/10- 11&HK6/12
2.2.MAYBANK ANALYST ROADSHOW
-MPPA Roadshow to Boston, Chicago, Kansas, NY, SF & Toronto on 9-13Jun 2014
-Indonesia Banks Marketing - US 13-20 Jun
2.3.The CIMB 4th Annual Asia Pacific Conference and Invest Malaysia Conference 2014 (in partnership with Bursa Malaysia) in Kuala Lumpur on 09-10 June 2014.
2.4.RISI Asian Pulp & Paper Outlook Conference JUNE 9-11, 2014
@Shanghai , China
2.5.BKPM : The Regional Potential Investment Exhibition and National Investment Seminar, 12-13 June 2014
------------------------------
3.BOND ISSUE :
INDF to issue IDR2tn bond to refinance debt including IDR1.6tn bond maturing on 18 June 2014 and short-term bank loan.
estimated offering period : 09-10 June,
listing date : 16 June 2014 respectively.
------------------------------
4.LELANG SBN 10 JUNI 2014
5.RDG BI (BI RATE) 12 JUN 2014
6.NEWINDONESIA
7.PIALA DUNIA DI BRASIL akan dimulai pada 13 Juni 2014.
------------------------------
8.AGENDA ECONOMIC
8.1.JEPANG
-JP : Consumer Confidence, Eco Watchers Survey: Current (09/06/14)
-JP : BSI Large Manufacturing (11/6/14)
-JP : Machinery Orders, Foreign Bond Investment, Stock Investment by Foreigners(12/6/14)
-JP : BoJ Interest Rate Decision, Industrial Production (13/6/14)
8.2.CHINA
-CN : Inflation Rate, PPI (09/06/14)
-CN : New Yuan Loans, Outstanding Loan Growth (10/6/14)
-CN : Retail Sales, Industrial Production (13/6/14)
Good morning,
U.S. stocks closed at all-time highs on Friday for a third week of gains after the May jobs report showed slow but steady improvement in the labor market.
Dow.........16924 +88.2 +0.52%
Nasdaq......4321 +25.2 +0.59%
S&P 500.....1949 +8.98 +0.46%
FTSE..........6858 +44.7 +0.66%
DAX...........9987 +39.4 +0.40%
CAC...........4581 +32.4 +0.71%
Nikkei......15077 -2.1 -0.01%
HSI..........22951 -158.7 -0.69%
Shanghai...2030 -10.9 -0.54%
Kospi.........1995 -13.1 -0.65%
ST Times...3249 +19.8 +0.60%
ASX 200....5464 +27.2 +0.50%
PSE...........6762 -9.8 -0.14%
Indo10Yr. 8.1949 -0.007 -0.09%
US10Yr.....2.60% +0.01 +0.50%
VIX...........10.73 -0.95 -8.13%
USD Index...80.41+0.04 +0.05%
Como Indx.305.25+0.99 +0.32%
DJUSCL......145.71 -0.45 -0.31%
(Dow Jones US Coal Index)
IndoCDS.....137.00 -12 -8.05%
(5-yr INOCD5)
IDR...11837-22.5 -0.90%(blmbrg)
Jisdor...... 11823 -51 -0.43%
Euro........1.3643 -0.002 -0.15%
TLKM..42.31+0.04+0.09%Rp2501
ARMS Plc...200.75 +2.75 +1.39%
EIDO......... 27.71 +0.31 +1.13%
EEM.......... 43.56 +0.43 +1.00%
Oil............102.66 +0.18 +0.18%
Gold ......1253.23 -0.16 -0.01%
Timah......23100 +0 +0.22% Nickel......18750 -240 -1.26%
Coal..........72.95 -0.95 -1.28%
CPO.....2420RM. -5 -0.21%$753
Corn.........459.00 +10 +2.23%
SoybeanOil.39.01 +0.32 +0.83%
Wheat.......618.25 +12.50 +2.06%
(DE/ls- 09-06-14)
------------------------------
Selamat pagi dari Equity Retail Mandiri Sekuritas,
Pasar saham AS ditutup menguat akhir pekan lalu, seiring positifnya data tenaga kerja Paman Sam. Penguatan itu diapresiasi dengan kenaikan indeks Dow Jones Industrial Avg sebesar +0,30% dan S&P500 sebesar +0,46%.
Dari pasarAsia , pergerakan pasar saham dipengaruhi
oleh data tenaga kerja Tiongkok yang akan dirilis dalam waktu dekat. Apresiasi
pasar saham Asia ditunjukkan oleh indeks
Nikkei 225 sebesar +0,76%.
Sementara harga kontrak berjangka (futures) komoditas bergerak variatif. Harga minyak mentah WTI naik +0,30% ke level US$102,66 per barel. Sedangkan harga emas Comex terkoreksi -0,07% ke posisi US$1.252,50 per troy ounce.
Dari dalam negeri, investor menanti rilis tingkat suku bunga acuan (BI Rate) yang akan diputuskan Bank Indonesia (BI), kamis mendatang. Di sisi lain, pekan ini pemerintah akan kembali melakukan lelangsurat
Menurut Analis Teknikal Mandiri Sekuritas, IHSG pekan lalu diperdagangkan diatas EMA 200 hari. Indeks fase konsolidasi dan bergerak mixed to up. Hari ini indeks masih akan bergerak mixed dengan kecenderungan menguat menguji resistance terdekat di 4.988. Indeks akan bergerak dikisaran support 4.893 dan resistance 4.990. Berikut beberapa rekomendasi saham yang layak dikoleksi pada perdagangan hari ini:
Ticker
PGAS Spec Buy 5.575 5.
INTP Spec Buy 24.550 22.
GJTL
EXCL Buy
BBRI
Selamat berinvestasi!
Equity Capital Market Retail Mandiri Sekuritas
Global Market Snapshot 9 Jun
===================
•U.S.
•U.S.
•U.S.
• JPMorgan’s Global FX Volatility Index, a measure of currency volatility fell to the lowest ever as the world’s biggest central banks flood financial markets with liquidity.
• VIX fell to the lowest level since Feb 2007 as confidence grew that a flood of monetary stimulus will propel the global economy, extending the 5-yr bull market.
• Mario Draghi has once again proved himself to be the bond market’s best friend as a jump in government bond across the euro area sent yields to record lows.
•China
•India
•Malaysia
• Government is considering raising the foreign ownership limit in the construction sector to 70% from 67% currently to draw more foreign capital to help accelerate the infrastructure projects.
RISET CIMB 09 JUNI 2014
1.Coal Mining | PDF
Still lacking positives
NEUTRAL - Maintained
Coal Mining | Author(s): Erindra KRISNAWAN, CFA +62 2130061732,
While coal industry players at the Coaltrans Asia conference appear to agree that coal prices are bottoming, they expect a price recovery to only happen in 1-2 years. In the short term, we think price pressure still looms given weak data points inChina
What Happened
Our key takeaways from the annual Coaltrans Asia conference’s discussions are: 1) Coal prices may have already reached a bottom, led by the belief that producers will have limited room to cut cost. However, recovery may only occur in 1-2 years, until excess supply is taken off the market, while prices may see further pressure in the short term (3-6 months) from tight liquidity inChina China
2.Alpha Edge | PDF
Diagonal triangle for DJIA?
Author(s): Nigel FOO +60 (3) 2261 9069,
Asia ’s
equity markets remain in an uptrend with key support for the MSCI Asia ex-Japan
at 545pts. The US US
IndoPremier
Tech Corner 090614
IHSG (4.937)
Range: 4.895 – 4.975
---Indeks kembali naik tipis 1 poin yang menunjukkan fase sideways. RSI dan MACD masih negatif sementara MA(5,20) dan stochastic berimpitan.
IHSG diperkirakan akan bergerak mixed cenderung menguat dengan support di 4.895 sementara resist di 4.975.
INTP (23.600)
Rekomendasi: Spec BUY
---Harga melanjutkan fase uptrend meski volume belum signifikan dan masih bergerak di golden area fibo. Stochastic dan RSI goldencross sementara MACD positif.
Jika bertahan diatas 23.550, maka berpeluang test resist 24.425. Stoploss jika break & close dibawah 23.050.
ADRO (1.320)
Rekomendasi: Spec BUY
---Masih bertahan di jalur uptrend, harga naik disertai volume dengan MA(5,20) crossing. Stochastic dan RSI positif sementara MACD berpotensi bullish crossover.
Jika bertahan diatas 1.320, maka berpeluang test resist 1.370 kemudian 1.450. Stoploss jika break & close dibawah support 1.285.
MLPL (845)
Rekomendasi: Buy On Weakness
---Major trend masih uptrend namun ada kecenderungan koreksi mengingat stochastic dan RSI sudah overbought. MACD masih positif.
Level entry support MA5 di 820 kemudian MA20 di 790. Resist 945, cut loss jika closed di bawah 790.
Setelah DJIA selama 1 minggu lalu naik +207.11 poin (+1.24%) dilevel tertinggi baru 16924.28, maka kenaikan DJIA lebih lanjut salah satunya akan ditentukan bagaimana kinerja data Retail Sales bulan Mei yang akan diannounce Kamis sebagai satu satu bukti apakah GDP AS akan rebound dikuartal 2/2014 dimana perkiraan sementara GDP AS dikuartal 2/2014 akan tumbuh dalam range 3.9%-4.2%, setelah dikuartal 1/2014 GDP AS tumbuh mengecewakan hanya 0.1%.Bukan hanya sedang menunggu data retail sales, tetapi investor juga menunggu data Producer Price Index & Consumer Sentiment yang akan direlease jumat, tetapi investor juga mulai memperhitungkan apakah DJIA mulai menjadi overvaluaed & berapa PE Forward dari DJIA ditengah masih rendahnya Fed Rate.Setelah selama minggu lalu IHSG menguat +42.27 poin (+0.88%) tetapi disertai kejatuhan Rupiah atas US Dollar -1.32% dilevel 11,830, maka IHSG selama minggu ini diperkirakan bergerak sideways cenderung sepi akibat minimnya sentimen positif dari dalam negeri ditengah akan dimulainya perlehatan World Cup sehingga sebagian dana dikhawatirkan akan pindah kepasar taruhan bola.Khusus perdagangan dihari Senin, ES memperkirakan IHSG berpeluang menguat terbatas merujuk kenaikan EIDO +1.13% & DJIA +88.17 poin (+0.52%) terlebih jika Rupiah bisa menguat lebih lanjut atas US Dollar.
DJIA +88.17 +0.52% 16924.28
NASDAQ +25.17 +0.59% 4321.4
VIX -0.95 -8.13% 10.73
OIL +0.18 +0.18% 102.66
GOLD -0.8 -0.06% 1252.5
TIN -50 -0.21% 23,195
NICKEL -155 -0.81% 18,875
CPO -3 -0.12% 2,414
EIDO +0.31 +1.13% $27.71
TLK 42.31 (2,502)
IDR 11,830
Monday IDX Range: 4,924 - 4,971
BUY: UNTR, ASII, PGAS, INTP, UNVR, SMGR, GGRM, TLKM, BWPT, BBCA, ITMG, CTRA, SIMP, ICBP (ES CSA®-MNC Sec/Disc On)"Have an Unbelievable Monday & GBU All"
Monday (09/06/2014) Early BIRD Technical Prespective (Edwin Sebayang CSA®-MNC Sec)
IDX Composite 4,924 - 4,971
Pola Inverted Hammer terbentuk atas IDX mengindikasikan pergerakan sideways.
Monday Stocks Pick:
UNTR 22600-23125 (TP 2014F:23600) Pola Three White Soldiers terbentuk atas UNTR mengindikasikan Bullish Continuation. BUY 22800
ASII 7100-7350 (TP 2014F:7950) Pola White Short Candle terbentuk atas ASII mengindikasikan Bullish Reversal. BUY 7175
PGAS 5275-5575 (TP 2014F:5800) Pola Two White Soldiers terbentuk atas PGAS mengindikasikan Bullish Continuation. BUY 5375
INTP 23225-244025 (TP 2014F:25800) Pola White Candle terbentuk atas INTP mengindikasikan Bullish Reversal. BUY 23575
UNVR 30300-30675 (TP 2014F:33500). Pola Dragonfly Doji terbentuk atas UNVR mengindikasikan melambatnya aksi beli. BUY 30450
SMGR 15200-15475 (TP 2014F:18000) Pola Five White Soldiers terbentuk atas SMGR mengindikasikan Bullish Continuation. BUY 15300
GGRM 53600-55150 (TP 2014F:59950) Pola White Candle terbentuk atas GGRM mengindikasikan Bullish Reversal. BUY 54200
TLKM 2495-2560 (TP 2014F:2700) Pola White Short Candle terbentuk atas TLKM mengindikasikan Bullish Reversal. BUY 2520
BWPT 1275-1325 (TP 2014F:1500) Pola Homing Pigeon terbentuk atas BWPT mengindikasikan munculnya aksi beli. BUY 1285
BBCA 10950-11150 (TP 2014F:12750) Pola Homing Pigeon terbentuk atas BBCA mengindikasikan melambatnya profit taking. BUY 11025
ITMG 29400-29900 (TP 2014F:31300) Pola Homing Pigeon terbentuk atas ITMG mengindikasikan melambatnya profit taking. BUY 29575
CTRA 1075-1125 (TP 2014F:1350) Pola Hammer terbentuk atas CTRA mengindikasikan melambatnya aksi beli. BUY 1090
SIMP 1010-1040 (TP 2014F:1100) Pola Four Price Doji terbentuk atas SIMP mengindikasikan sideways. BUY 1015
ICBP 9975-10200 (TP 2014F:12650) Pola White Candle terbentuk atas ICBP mengindikasikan munculnya aksi beli. BUY 10075 (ES CSA®-MNC Sec/Disc On)
» GLOBAL DATA MARKETs
(By: D'ORIGIN; Source: BN, CNBC, Krishna, Desy)
DJIA.........16924 +88.2 +0.52%
S&P 500....1949 +8.98 +0.46%
Nasdaq......4321 +25.2 +0.59%
FTSE..........6858 +44.7 +0.66%
CAC...........4581 +32.4 +0.71%
DAX...........9987 +39.4 +0.40%
Nikkei......15077 -2.13 -0.01%
HSI..........22951 -159. -0.69%
Sensex....25396 +377. +1.51%
US10Yr.......2.59 +0.01 +0.38%
Indo10Yr. 8.1949 -0.01 -0.09%
EUR........1.3643 -0.00 -0.15%
IDR(JISDOR)...11823 -51.00 -0.43%
IDR(NDF)..............11837 -22.5 -0.19%
EIDO.........27.71 +0.31 +1.13%
EEM..........43.56 +0.43 +1.00%
TLK...........42.31 +0.04 +0.09%
ARMS Plc..200.7 +2.75 +1.39%
WTI..........102.7 +0.18 +0.18%
GOLD......1253 -0.44 -0.04%
TIN...........23100 0.00. 0.00%
NICKEL....18750 -240. -1.26%
COAL........72.95 -0.95 -1.28%
CPO.....RM2420. -5.00 -0.21%($753)
CORN.........459.00 +10.00+2.23%
SoybeanOil.39.01. +0.32 +0.83%
WHEAT......618.25 +12.50 +2.06%
:::» High-Low Tin Price «:::
- 2010: H 27.350, L 15.200
- 2011: H 33.300, L 18.525
- 2012: H 25.500, L 17.345
- 2013: H 25.025, L 18.850
- 2014: H 23.700, L 21.500
:::» High-Low Nickel Price «:::
- 2010: H 27.290, L 17.050
- 2011: H 29.300, L 16.750
- 2012: H 21.800, L 15.250
- 2013: H 18.725, L 13.285
- 2014: H 21.150, L 13.413
:::» High-Low Palm Oil «:::
- 2010: H 3.780, L 2.384
- 2011: H 3.927, L 2.787
- 2012: H 3.568, L 2.027
- 2013: H 2.645, L 2.167
- 2014: H 2.922, L 2.494
:::» High-Low Coal Price «:::
- 2010: H 126.10, L 88.00
- 2011: H 138.50, L 108.95
- 2012: H 118.95, L 78.05
- 2013: H 94.05, L 76.10
- 2014: H 84.25, L 72.75
:::» High-Low USD-IDR «:::
- 2010: H 9.428, L 8.891
- 2011: H 9.155, L 8.465
- 2012: H 9.705, L 8.935
- 2013: H 12.263, L 9.618
- 2014: H 12.240, L 11.288
:::» High-Low Gold Price«:::
- 2010: H 1.424, L 1.063
- 2011: H 1.900, L 1.314
- 2012: H 1.790, L 1.539
- 2013: H 1.693, L 1.189
- 2014: H 1.383, L 1.201
••••••
FOCUS NEXT WEEK (9-13 JUNI 2014) - TENTATIVE
1.PTBA : Tenor buyback dieksekusi mulai 10 Maret 2014 - 9 Juni 2014.
------------------------------
2.ROADSHOW/EVENT/CONFERENCE :
2.1.DB COMPANY ROADSHOWS :
-PT Bank Tabungan Negara Tbk: Company Update - HK 6/9-10
-Indonesia Banking & Telecom Sector Update - SG 6/9-11 & HK 6/12- 13
-PT Multipolar Tbk: Company Update - SG 6/10- 11&HK6/12
2.2.MAYBANK ANALYST ROADSHOW
-MPPA Roadshow to Boston, Chicago, Kansas, NY, SF & Toronto on 9-13Jun 2014
-Indonesia Banks Marketing - US 13-20 Jun
2.3.The CIMB 4th Annual Asia Pacific Conference and Invest Malaysia Conference 2014 (in partnership with Bursa Malaysia) in Kuala Lumpur on 09-10 June 2014.
2.4.RISI Asian Pulp & Paper Outlook Conference JUNE 9-11, 2014
@
2.5.BKPM : The Regional Potential Investment Exhibition and National Investment Seminar, 12-13 June 2014
------------------------------
3.BOND ISSUE :
INDF to issue IDR2tn bond to refinance debt including IDR1.6tn bond maturing on 18 June 2014 and short-term bank loan.
estimated offering period : 09-10 June,
listing date : 16 June 2014 respectively.
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4.LELANG SBN 10 JUNI 2014
5.RDG BI (BI RATE) 12 JUN 2014
6.NEW
7.PIALA DUNIA DI BRASIL akan dimulai pada 13 Juni 2014.
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8.AGENDA ECONOMIC
8.1.JEPANG
-JP : Consumer Confidence, Eco Watchers Survey: Current (09/06/14)
-JP : BSI Large Manufacturing (11/6/14)
-JP : Machinery Orders, Foreign Bond Investment, Stock Investment by Foreigners(12/6/14)
-JP : BoJ Interest Rate Decision, Industrial Production (13/6/14)
8.2.CHINA
-CN : Inflation Rate, PPI (09/06/14)
-CN : New Yuan Loans, Outstanding Loan Growth (10/6/14)
-CN : Retail Sales, Industrial Production (13/6/14)
Good morning,
U.S. stocks closed at all-time highs on Friday for a third week of gains after the May jobs report showed slow but steady improvement in the labor market.
Dow.........16924 +88.2 +0.52%
Nasdaq......4321 +25.2 +0.59%
S&P 500.....1949 +8.98 +0.46%
FTSE..........6858 +44.7 +0.66%
DAX...........9987 +39.4 +0.40%
CAC...........4581 +32.4 +0.71%
Nikkei......15077 -2.1 -0.01%
HSI..........22951 -158.7 -0.69%
Shanghai...2030 -10.9 -0.54%
Kospi.........1995 -13.1 -0.65%
ST Times...3249 +19.8 +0.60%
ASX 200....5464 +27.2 +0.50%
PSE...........6762 -9.8 -0.14%
Indo10Yr. 8.1949 -0.007 -0.09%
US10Yr.....2.60% +0.01 +0.50%
VIX...........10.73 -0.95 -8.13%
USD Index...80.41+0.04 +0.05%
Como Indx.305.25+0.99 +0.32%
DJUSCL......145.71 -0.45 -0.31%
(Dow Jones US Coal Index)
IndoCDS.....137.00 -12 -8.05%
(5-yr INOCD5)
IDR...11837-22.5 -0.90%(blmbrg)
Jisdor...... 11823 -51 -0.43%
Euro........1.3643 -0.002 -0.15%
TLKM..42.31+0.04+0.09%Rp2501
ARMS Plc...200.75 +2.75 +1.39%
EIDO......... 27.71 +0.31 +1.13%
EEM.......... 43.56 +0.43 +1.00%
Oil............102.66 +0.18 +0.18%
Gold ......1253.23 -0.16 -0.01%
Timah......23100 +0 +0.22% Nickel......18750 -240 -1.26%
Coal..........72.95 -0.95 -1.28%
CPO.....2420RM. -5 -0.21%$753
Corn.........459.00 +10 +2.23%
SoybeanOil.39.01 +0.32 +0.83%
Wheat.......618.25 +12.50 +2.06%
(DE/ls- 09-06-14)
------------------------------
Selamat pagi dari Equity Retail Mandiri Sekuritas,
Pasar saham AS ditutup menguat akhir pekan lalu, seiring positifnya data tenaga kerja Paman Sam. Penguatan itu diapresiasi dengan kenaikan indeks Dow Jones Industrial Avg sebesar +0,30% dan S&P500 sebesar +0,46%.
Dari pasar
Sementara harga kontrak berjangka (futures) komoditas bergerak variatif. Harga minyak mentah WTI naik +0,30% ke level US$102,66 per barel. Sedangkan harga emas Comex terkoreksi -0,07% ke posisi US$1.252,50 per troy ounce.
Dari dalam negeri, investor menanti rilis tingkat suku bunga acuan (BI Rate) yang akan diputuskan Bank Indonesia (BI), kamis mendatang. Di sisi lain, pekan ini pemerintah akan kembali melakukan lelang
Menurut Analis Teknikal Mandiri Sekuritas, IHSG pekan lalu diperdagangkan diatas EMA 200 hari. Indeks fase konsolidasi dan bergerak mixed to up. Hari ini indeks masih akan bergerak mixed dengan kecenderungan menguat menguji resistance terdekat di 4.988. Indeks akan bergerak dikisaran support 4.893 dan resistance 4.990. Berikut beberapa rekomendasi saham yang layak dikoleksi pada perdagangan hari ini:
Ticker
PGAS Spec Buy 5.575 5.
INTP Spec Buy 24.550 22.
GJTL
EXCL Buy
BBRI
Selamat berinvestasi!
Equity Capital Market Retail Mandiri Sekuritas
Global Market Snapshot 9 Jun
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• JPMorgan’s Global FX Volatility Index, a measure of currency volatility fell to the lowest ever as the world’s biggest central banks flood financial markets with liquidity.
• VIX fell to the lowest level since Feb 2007 as confidence grew that a flood of monetary stimulus will propel the global economy, extending the 5-yr bull market.
• Mario Draghi has once again proved himself to be the bond market’s best friend as a jump in government bond across the euro area sent yields to record lows.
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• Government is considering raising the foreign ownership limit in the construction sector to 70% from 67% currently to draw more foreign capital to help accelerate the infrastructure projects.
RISET CIMB 09 JUNI 2014
1.Coal Mining | PDF
Still lacking positives
NEUTRAL - Maintained
Coal Mining | Author(s): Erindra KRISNAWAN, CFA +62 2130061732,
While coal industry players at the Coaltrans Asia conference appear to agree that coal prices are bottoming, they expect a price recovery to only happen in 1-2 years. In the short term, we think price pressure still looms given weak data points in
What Happened
Our key takeaways from the annual Coaltrans Asia conference’s discussions are: 1) Coal prices may have already reached a bottom, led by the belief that producers will have limited room to cut cost. However, recovery may only occur in 1-2 years, until excess supply is taken off the market, while prices may see further pressure in the short term (3-6 months) from tight liquidity in
2.Alpha Edge | PDF
Diagonal triangle for DJIA?
Author(s): Nigel FOO +60 (3) 2261 9069,
IndoPremier
Tech Corner 090614
IHSG (4.937)
Range: 4.895 – 4.975
---Indeks kembali naik tipis 1 poin yang menunjukkan fase sideways. RSI dan MACD masih negatif sementara MA(5,20) dan stochastic berimpitan.
IHSG diperkirakan akan bergerak mixed cenderung menguat dengan support di 4.895 sementara resist di 4.975.
INTP (23.600)
Rekomendasi: Spec BUY
---Harga melanjutkan fase uptrend meski volume belum signifikan dan masih bergerak di golden area fibo. Stochastic dan RSI goldencross sementara MACD positif.
Jika bertahan diatas 23.550, maka berpeluang test resist 24.425. Stoploss jika break & close dibawah 23.050.
ADRO (1.320)
Rekomendasi: Spec BUY
---Masih bertahan di jalur uptrend, harga naik disertai volume dengan MA(5,20) crossing. Stochastic dan RSI positif sementara MACD berpotensi bullish crossover.
Jika bertahan diatas 1.320, maka berpeluang test resist 1.370 kemudian 1.450. Stoploss jika break & close dibawah support 1.285.
MLPL (845)
Rekomendasi: Buy On Weakness
---Major trend masih uptrend namun ada kecenderungan koreksi mengingat stochastic dan RSI sudah overbought. MACD masih positif.
Level entry support MA5 di 820 kemudian MA20 di 790. Resist 945, cut loss jika closed di bawah 790.
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