Tuesday (03/12/2013) Early BIRD Fundamental Perspective (Edwin Sebayang CSA®-MNC Securities)
Setelah DJIA naik tajam selama 8 minggu berturut-turut atau naik +2.982.27 poin (+22.76%) dari awal tahun 2013 & seringkali menciptakan rekor tertinggi baru akhirnya DJIA terkena profit taking sebesar -77.64 poin (-0.48%) ditutup dilevel 16008.77 diiringi kenaikan The Vix sebesar +3.87% ditutup dilevel 14.23 karena investor sulit menemukan alasan kenapa DJIA harus menguat lagi dalam perdagangan Senin ditengah kuatnya pertumbuhan ISM Manufacturing bln November yg naik kelevel 57.3 (level tertinggi sejak April 2011) atau lebih tinggi dari level 56.4 dibln Oktober atau lebih tinggi dari konsensus ekonom yg memperkirakan ISM Manufacturing akan turun kelevel 55.0 di bln November serta naiknya data Construction Spending bln Oktober sebesar 0.8%, level tertinggi sejak May 2009.
Nampaknya perjalanan penguatan IHSG berpotensi TERTAHAN dalam perdagangan Selasa ini merujuk kejatuhan DJIA -77.64 poin (-0.48%), kejatuhan komoditas logam seperti: gold -2.49% & tin -1.31% serta ternyata kenaikan IHSG dihari Senin sebesar +65.54 poin (+1.54%) TIDAK DIIKUTI kenaikan EIDO:US yg justru ditutup stagnan alias flat alias berjalan ditempat.
Harapan satu-satunya adalah dengan mengamati pergerakan USD/IDR, apakah USD berlanjut melemah atas IDR, setelah dihari Senin USD melemah Rp 195 (-1.63%) mengikuti euphoria terjadinya Trade Surplus bulan Oktober atau euphoria tsb akan padam alias hanya terjadi short term saja.
DJIA -77.64 -0.48% 16008.77
S&P -4.91 -0.27% 1800.9
NASDAQ -14.63 -0.36% 4045.26
VIX +0.53 +3.87% 14.23
OIL +1.11 +1.2% 93.83
GOLD -31.1 -2.49% 1219.3
NICKEL +1. +0.01%. 13,516
TIN. -299. -1.31%. 22,501
CPO -11 -0.41%. 2,643
EIDO. Unch 23.11
TLK 36.50 (2,146)
IDR 11,760
Tuesday IDX Range: 4,281 - 4,373
BUY: PTPP, MAPI, ADHI, JSMR, CPIN, TLKM, PGAS, ITMG, BBNI, LSIP, BBRI, GGRM, AALI, WIKA, UNTR
SELL: ANTM, BUMI (ES CSA®-MNC Sec/Disc On)
Tuesday (03/12/2013) Early BIRD Technical Prespective (Edwin Sebayang CSA®-MNC Sec)
IDX Composite 4,281 - 4,373
Pola Two White Soldiers terbentuk atas IDX mengindikasikan Bullish Continuation.
Tuesday Stocks Pick:
PTPP 1170-1300 (TP 2013F:1490) Pola Two White Soldiers terbentuk atas PTPP mengindikasikan Bullish Continuation. BUY 1220
MAPI 5000-5600 (TP 2013F:7400) Pola White Opening Marubozu terbentuk atas MAPI mengindikasikan Bullish Reversal. BUY 5200
ADHI 1560-1690 (TP 2013F:2200) Pola two White Soldiers terbentuk atas ADHI mengindikasikan Bullish Continuation. BUY 1590
SMRA 900-1010 (TP 2013F:1250) Pola Four White Soldiers terbentuk atas SMRA mengindikasikan Bullish Continuation. BUY 940
CPIN 3450-3800 (TP 2013F:4250) Pola White Opening Marubozu terbentuk atas CPIN mengindikasikan Bullish Reversal. BUY 3525
PGAS 4850-5000 (TP 2013F:6550) Pola Four White Soldiers terbentuk atas PGAS mengindikasikan Bullish Continuation. BUY 4875
ITMG 28800-30050 (TP 2013F:37400) Pola Spinning Tops terbentuk atas ITMG mengindikasikan melambatnya aksi beli. BUY 29100
BBNI 4150-4400 (TP 2013F:5000) Pola White Opening Marubozu terbentuk atas BBNI mengindikasikan Bullish Reversal. BUY 4225
LSIP 1850-1940 (TP 2013F:1920) Pola Four White Soldiers terbentuk atas LSIP mengindikasikan Bullish Continuation. BUY 1870
BBRI 7550-7850 (TP 2013F:7800) Pola Two White Soldiers terbentuk atas BBRI mengindikasikan Bullish Continuation. BUY 7650
GGRM 37400-39600 (TP 2013F:43300) Pola Four White Soldiers terbentuk atas GGRM mengindikasikan Bulllish Continuation. BUY 38750
AALI 22100-23400 (TP 2013F:23000) Pola Evening Doji Star terbentuk atas AALI mengindikasikan melambatnya aksi beli. BUY 22400
WIKA 1690-1850 (TP 2013F:2200) Pola Two White Soldiers terbentuk atas WIKA mengindikasikan Bullish Continuation. BUY 1780
UNTR 18500-19400 (New TP 2013F:21450) Pola White opening Marubozu terbentuk atas UNTR mengindikasikan Bullish Reversal. BUY 18700 (ES CSA®-MNC Sec/Disc On)
Good morning,
U.S. stocks declined on Monday, with the Dow and S&P 500 retreating after an eight-week winning stretch, as investors took a cautious stance ahead of Friday's jobs report while considering a mixed start to the holiday shopping season and an upbeat gauge of manufacturing.
Dow.........16009 -77.6 -0.48%
Nasdaq......4045 -14.6 -0.36%
S&P 500.....1801 -4.9 -0.27%
FTSE..........6595 -55.2 -0.83%
DAX...........9402 -3.3 -0.04%
CAC...........4285 -9.4 -0.22%
Nikkei......15665 -6.8 -0.04%
HSI..........24038 +157.3+0.66%
Shanghai...2207 -13.3 -0.59%
Kospi.........2031 -14.1 -0.69%
ST Times...3189 +12.4 +0.39%
PSE...........6223 +14.6 +0.23%
Indo10Yr. 8.757% -0.029 -0.33%
US10Yr.....2.80% +0.06 +2.19%
VIX...........14.23 +0.53 +3.87%
USD Index80.89 +0.21 +0.26%
Como Indx.274.75-0.22 -0.08%
DJUSCL......133.90+1.72 +1.30%
(Dow Jones US Coal Index)
IndoCDS.....230 -6.35 -2.69%
(5-yr INOCD5)
Oil.........93.86 +1.14 +1.23%
Gold....1219.10 -34.25 -2.73%
IDR......11770 -195 -1.63%(blmbrg)
Kurs Tengah BI 11946 vs 11977
Euro.....1.3541-0.005 -0.37%
TLKM..36.50 -0.04 -0.11% Rp2148
BumiPlc...222.75 +7.25 +3.36%
EIDO........23.11 +0 +0.00%
Timah......22490 -210 -0.93%
Nickel......13460 +25 +0.19%
Coal.........82.80 +0.20 +0.24%
CPO........2642 -11 -0.41% $823
Corn.........424.50 +0.00 +0.00%
SoybeanOil.40.60 +0.14 +0.35%
Wheat.........661.75-7.00 -1.05%
DOC(24Sep)6750
(DE/ls- 03-12-13)
**************
LOTS Trading Club™ | lots.co.id
Lautandhana Securindo | YJ
Global Market Statistics 3 Dec 2013
DJIA.........16009 -77.6 -0.48%
S&P 500....1801 -4.91 -0.27%
Nasdaq......4045 -14.6 -0.36%
FTSE..........6595 -55.2 -0.83%
CAC...........4286 -9.40 -0.22%
DAX...........9402 -3.34 -0.04%
Nikkei......15655 -6.80 -0.04%
HSI..........24038 +157. +0.66%
US10Yr.......2.80 +0.06 +2.19%
EUR........1.3541 -0.00 -0.37%
IDR..........11770 -195. -1.63%
EIDO.........23.11 0.00 0.00%
TLK...........36.50 -0.04 -0.11%
BUMI Plc...222.7 +7.25 +3.36%
CrudeOil...93.85 +1.13 +1.22%
Gold..........1219 -33.7 -2.69%
Tin...........22490 -210. -0.92%
Nickel......13460 +25.0 +0.19%
Coal.........82.80 +0.20 +0.24%
CPO......RM2642 -12.0 -0.46%
DOC..........6750 (24 Sep 2013)
Global Market Snapshot
=================
• U.S. stocks fell, with the S&P 500 index extending declines in the final hour of trading, amid data showed manufacturing unexpectedly climbed last month and reports on holiday retail sales.
• U.S. ISM manufacturing index unexpectedly accelerated in November to 57.3 from 56.4, the fastest pace in more than 2-years, indicating factories will be a source of strength for the economy heading into 2014.
• Euro-area manufacturing index rose to 51.6 from 51.3, more than initially estimated in November, led by Germany, the currency bloc’s largest economy.
• Unilever CEO Paul Polman said the economic slowdown in emerging markets is here to stay for a few years as many countries need to enact structural reforms to adjust to new economic conditions.
• Indonesia's tin exports picked up in November to around two thirds of typical levels, Reuters analysis of exchange data showed, recovering from a two-month slump.
• Indonesia October trade balance: export rise 2.6% YoY and import fell 8.9% YoY. The trade surplus US$50mn from deficit US$660mn in September.
• Indonesia November inflation +0.12% MoM, +8.37% YoY. Core inflation +4.80% YoY vs +4.73% in October.
MCI Update (03 Des 2013):
7:37AM:
DJ(-0.48% );
NK(+0.43% );
IDR 11760;
Gold 1222.61;
CPO 2602(-0.1% );
EUR 1.3544;
JPY 102.86
Pg ini bursa reg mixed.IHSG Cenderung Menguat
7:39AM:
Nikel 13450(-0.0% );
Timah 22487(-1.3% );
Coal Newc $83.4(+0.7% );
Coal Rotter $82.2(+0.5% );
Oil 94.14;
TLK 2148;
Silver 19.23
∙ FAST Proyeksikan Pendapatan Rp 4,53 Triliun
· Saham Logindo Samudramakmur Rp 2.800
∙ Penjualan ULTJ Tumbuh 22%
∙ CTBN Targetkan Pendapatan USD 210 Juta
∙ Harga Saham Sawit Sumbermas Rp 670
∙ Pendapatan EMDE Naik 73,32%
· OCBC Beli 9,76% Saham CNKO
∙ ALTO Rights Issue Rp 374 Miliar
Trading Ideas (disclaimer):
SpecBuy: MPPA,TP 2150,SL 1960
TrdBuy: ADHI,TP 1780-1850,SL 1680; ASRI,TP 570,SL 490; BSDE,TP 1550-1600,SL 1450; SMRA,TP 1040,SL 880
©Mega Capital Indonesia
IHSG (4.322)
Range: 4.256 – 4.350
---Indeks naik dengan gap up namun didukung volume. Stochastic positif sementara RSI dan MACD berpeluang
goldencross.
IHSG diperkirakan akan menguat dengan
support tutup gap di 4.256 sementara
resist 4.350.
WIKA (1.790)
Rekomendasi: BUY
---Harga break resist downtrend dengan tutup di area upper band disertai volume. Stochastic dan RSI positif sementara MACD
bullish crossover.
Target resist upper line sekaligus MA100 di 1.890. Stoploss jika break & close dibawah support 1.650.
CTRA (820)
Rekomendasi: BUY
---Harga break resist EMA(10,20) dengan
volume cukup tinggi. MACD mulai positif dan stochastic keluar dari oversold.
Target harga berikutnya testing resist EMA50 di 880 kemudian 900. Support 800,
cut loss jika closed di bawah 760.
BEST (410)
Rekomendasi: BUY
---Harga sempat break resist EMA10 namun gagal hingga closing. Jika mampu tembus 420 maka target harga di level 440 kemudian 460. Support 400, stoploss jika
closing di bawah 390.
DISCLAIMER
NEWS :
1.BTN & BJB to issue bonds to strengthen capital
02 December 2013 18:14 PM
Banks are on alert to add capital, particularly bond issuance, while waiting for the easing of market volatility and general election next year.
PT Bank Pembangunan Daerah Bank Jabar dan Banten Tbk (Bank BJB) and PT Bank Tabungan Negara Tbk are two banks that have inserted bond issuance into the 2014 business plan, citing Bisnis Indonesia.
Besides bond issuance, BTN will also release collective investments contract on asset-based securities (KIK-EBA) in fourth quarter of 2013. The company has previously released the fifth KIK-EBA. Looking at the pressure in financial market that continues to ease, Evi believed market will have a positive response toward this sixth issuance.
“KIK-EBA will be issued in the first week of December or no later than the second week of the month,” he said.
In 2014, BTN will release another KIK-EBA worth IDR1.5 trillion. As a scheme, the company will issue and increase the value of KIK-EBA gradually in accordance to corporate needs.
Tidak ada komentar:
Posting Komentar