2nd SESSION JCI on 03.12.13
(By: Veni Fitriani - D'Origin)
IHSG @4288.76 (-33.213pts) (-0.768%)
(H: 4320.06 ; L: 4269.35)
Value: 3.887 T (NG 636 B)
Volume: 8.566 M Lot (NG 2.397 M Lot)
Foreign Nett Sell 48.51 B
Foreign Value 32.3%
*BUY (Regular)
F Buy 916.1 B
D Buy 2335.0 B
*SELL (Regular)
F Sell 963.4 B
D Sell 2287.7 B
USD/IDR:
11830 (Onshore)
11888 (Offshore)
JCI for today:
Support: 4260, 4245
Resist: 4350, 4380
6 MARKET DRIVEN BY SECTOR
INFRASTRUC (-1.15%) (821.92 B)
MANUFACTUR (-1.10%) (765.52 B)
TRADE (-0.46%) (709.86 B)
PROPERTY (-1.63%) (665.79 B)
FINANCE (-0.04%) (585.64 B)
CONSUMER (-1.33%) (395.06 B)
7 NETT BUY STOCKs BY FOREIGNers
BMRI @7792 (49.14 B)
SMGR @13142 (27.32 B)
SUGI @460 (22.52 B)
MYRX @516 (16.93 B)
MAPI @5363 (9.14 B)
MNCN @2718 (8.78 B)
BBCA @9765 (7.89 B)
7 NETT SELL STOCKs BY FOREIGNers
TLKM @2148 (46.69 B)
UNVR @26374 (42.75 B)
GGRM @39242 (33.96 B)
ASII @6359 (26.66 B)
BBNI @4219 (21.95 B)
JSMR @5258 (11.51 B)
ISAT @3887 (10.00 B)
8 MOST ACTIVE BY VALUE
TRAM @1570 (-1.88%)
TLKM @2150 (-2.27%)
GGRM @39350 (+1.42%)
BBRI @7600 (-1.30%)
BMRI @7850 (+1.95%)
PGAS @4900 (0.00%)
SMGR @13050 (-0.76%)
ASRI @520 (-1.89%)
8 MOST ACTIVE BY VOLUME
DOID @56 (475.477 lot)
ASRI @520 (351.359 lot)
TRAM @1570 (321.040 lot)
SUGI @460 (302.358 lot)
TMPI @435 (258.301 lot)
META @270 (242.216 lot)
BUMI @300 (181.145 lot)
MYRX @530 (171.919 lot)
"...Have a Blessed Tuesday Evening..."
Wednesday (04/12/2013) Early BIRD Fundamental Perspective (Edwin Sebayang CSA®-MNC Securities)
Kombinasi sinyal lemahnya holiday shopping season yang diperkirakan turun 4% dibandingkan tahun lalu serta kehawatiran berkembangnya spekulasi The Fed akan mempercepat dilakukannya Tapering Off dibulan Desember ini merujuk kuatnya pertumbuhan data Manufacturing dan Construction Spending yang direleased Senin serta data Nonfarm Payroll & Unemplyment Rate yg akan direlease Jumat minggu ini dimana jika membaik dikhawatirkan berpotensi juga merubah pandangan The Fed untuk mempercepat Tapering Off menjadi faktor DJIA kembali turun dihari ke-3 sebesar -94.15 poin (-0.59%) ditutup dilevel 15914.62 disertai naiknya The Vix sebesar +2.25% ditutup dilevel 14.55.
Sekali lagi ES memperkirakan nampaknya IHSG kembali berpotensi TURUN dalam perdagangan Rabu ini merujuk kejatuhan DJIA dihari ke-3 sebesar -94.15 poin (-0.59%), turunnya EIDO:US sebesar -0.91%serta US Dollar kembali menguat atas Rupiah sebesar Rp 120 (+1.02%) ditengah kenaikan tajam harga Nymex oil sebesar +3.27% ditutup diharga US$96.89 yang tentunya berpotensi menambah defisit Current Account Indonesia dari sisi naiknya impor bahan bakar.
DJIA -94.15 -0.59% 15914.62
S&P -5.75 -0.32% 1795.15
NASDAQ -8.06 -0.2% 4037.2
VIX +0.32 +2.25% 14.55
OIL +3.07 +3.27% 96.89
GOLD +1.6 +0.13% 1223.5
NICKEL -65. -0.48%. 13,450
TIN. -50 -0.22%. 22,450
CPO -26 -0.98%. 2,617
EIDO. -0.21. -0.91% 22.90
TLK 36.02 (2,140)
IDR 11,880
Wednesday IDX Range: 4,241 - 4,343
BUY: ITMG, BMRI, MAPI, AKRA, ADHI, GGRM, BWPT, AALI, PGAS, JSMR
BOW: WIKA, UNTR, INDF, ASII
SELL: BUMI, ANTM (ES CSA®-MNC Sec/Disc On)
"Have a Noteworthy Wednesday & GBU All"
Wednesday (04/12/2013) Early BIRD Technical Prespective (Edwin Sebayang CSA®-MNC Sec)
IDX Composite 4,241 - 4,343
Pola Bearish Harami terbentuk atas IDX mengindikasikan Bearish Reversal.
Wednesday Stocks Pick:
ITMG 28900-29900 (TP 2013F:37400) Pola Hammer terbentuk atas ITMG mengindikasikan melambatnya aksi beli. BUY 29200
BMRI 7750-8050 (TP 2013F:8900) Pola White Closing Marubozu terbentuk atas BMRI mengindikasikan Bullish Reversal. BUY 7800
MAPI 5250-5550 (TP 2013F:7400) Pola Two White Soldiers terbentuk atas MAPI mengindikasikan Bullish Continuation. BUY 5350
AKRA 4750-4950 (TP 2013F:4850) Pola Two White Soldiers terbentuk atas AKRA mengindikasikan Bullish Continuation. BUY 4825
ADHI 1710-1790 (TP 2013F:2200) Pola Evening Doji Star terbentuk atas ADHI mengindikasikan melambatnya aksi beli. BUY 1740
GGRM 38600-40350 (TP 2013F:43300) Pola Two White Soldiers terbentuk atas GGRM mengindikasikan Bulllish Continuation. BUY 39300
BWPT 1310-1370 (TP 2013F:1270) Pola Evening Doji Star terbentuk atas BWPT mengindikasikan melambatnya aksi beli. BUY 1330
AALI 22450-23400 (TP 2013F:23000) Pola Short White Candle terbentuk atas AALI mengindikasikan Bullish Reversal. BUY 22650
PGAS 4825-5050 (TP 2013F:6550) Pola Evening Doji Star terbentuk atas PGAS mengindikasikan melambatnya aksi beli. BUY 4875
JSMR 5200-5400 (TP 2013F:6500) Pola Dragonfly Doji terbentuk atas JSMR mengindikasikan melambatnya aksi beli. BUY 5250
WIKA 1740-1830 (TP 2013F:2200) Pola Spinning Tops terbentuk atas WIKA mengindikasikan melambatnya aksi beli. BOW 1760
UNTR 18400-18900 (TP 2013F:21450) Pola Bearish Harami terbentuk atas UNTR mengindikasikan Bearish Reversal. BOW 18500
INDF 6450-6850 (TP 2013F:8100) Pola Four Price Doji terbentuk atas INDF mengindikasikan melambatnya aksi beli. BOW 6550
ASII 6200-6500 (TP 2013F:6900) Pola Bearish Harami terbentuk atas ASII mengindikasikan Bearish Reversal. BOW 6250 (ES CSA®-MNC Sec/Disc On)
LOTS Trading Club™ | lots.co.id
Lautandhana Securindo | YJ
Global Market Statistics 4 Dec 2013
DJIA.........15915 -94.1 -0.59%
S&P 500....1795 -5.75 -0.32%
Nasdaq......4037 -8.06 -0.20%
FTSE..........6532 -62.9 -0.95%
CAC...........4172 -113. -2.65%
DAX...........9223 -178. -1.90%
Nikkei......15749 +94.6 +0.60%
HSI..........23910 -128. -0.53%
US10Yr.......2.78 -0.02 -0.71%
EUR........1.3589 +0.00 +0.35%
IDR..........11888 +188. +1.00%
EIDO.........22.90 -0.21 -0.91%
TLK...........36.02 -0.48 -1.32%
BUMI Plc...205.2 -17.5 -7.86%
CrudeOil...96.71 +2.89 +3.08%
Gold..........1223 +4.39 +0.36%
Tin...........22500 +10.0 +0.04%
Nickel......13380 -80.0 -0.59%
Coal.........83.35 +0.55 +0.66%
CPO......RM2619 -24.0 -0.92%
DOC..........6750 (24 Sep 2013)
Global Market Snapshot
=================
• U.S. stocks declined for a third day, as investors weighed reports on car and retail sales before economic data this week that may offer clues on when The Fed will reduce stimulus.
• China’s yuan overtook the euro to become the second-most used currency in global trade finance after the dollar this year, as the currency had an 8.66% share of letters of credit in October vs 6.64% for the euro.
• India’s current-account deficit narrowed to $5.2bn in 3Q compared with $21.8bn in the prior quarter, as gold imports cooled, offering a potential boost for the nation’s currency.
• A lobbying group pressing the U.S. government to speed approval of U.S. natural gas and coal export, saying that long delays in the approval process may violate global trade rules.
• Indonesia's main rubber grouping is to cut output next year by 10%, while urging other SE Asia countries to do the same to reduce global stocks and support prices.
Market Research - First Asia Capital (PC) 4/12/2013
* IHSG kemarin gagal bertahan di atas level 4300. Tekanan jual kembali membawa IHSG terkoreksi 33,213 poin di 4288,764. Nilai transaksi relatif tipis hanya Rp.3,25 triliun di Pasar Reguler. Pelaku pasar kembali melepas saham sektoral menyusul nilai tukar rupiah yang kembali melemah hampir 1% di Rp.11888 dari posisi hari sebelumnya yang di Rp.11770. Pergerakan IHSG cenderung fluktuatif menyusul resiko perekonomian domestik yang masih tinggi ditandai dengan pelemahan nilai tukar rupiah atas dolar AS. Tekanan jual juga dialami sejumlah saham tambang dipicu melemahnya harga komoditasnya menyusul penguatan dolar AS.
* Sementara Wall Street tadi malam kembali ditutup di teritori negatif. Indeks DJIA dan S&P masing-masing terkoreksi 0,59% dan 0,32% ditutup di 15914,62 dan 1795,15. Ini merupakan penurunan hari ketiga berturut-turut setelah mengalami rally panjang selama delapan pekan. Aksi ambil untung lanjutan dipicu mencuatnya kembali kekhawatiran pengurangan stimulus oleh The Fed akan lebih cepat dari perkiraan sebelumnya menyusul membaiknya perekonomian AS.
* Kondisi bursa global dan kawasan yang bergerak di teritori negatif dan minimnya insentif positif dari domestik diperkirakan akan kembali menekan pergerakan IHSG hari ini. IHSG diperkirakan akan bergerak dengan support di 4240 dan resisten di 4330.
IHSG : S1 4270 S2 4240 R1 4330 R2 4370
Saham Pilihan
TLKM 2075-2200 BoW, SL 2025
PGAS 4800-5000 TB, SL 4700
BSDE 1370-1480 Buy, SL 1320
ASRI 490-560 BoW, SL 470
BBNI 4100-4350 BoW, SL 4000
BMRI 7700-8000 TB, SL 7600
ADHI 1710-1780 BoW, SL 1630
GGRM 36000-40400 TB, SL 35000
LPCK 4900-5450 BoW, SL 4800
Disclaimer On
First Asia Research
Good morning,
U.S. stocks fell on Tuesday, with the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average extending losses into a third session, as Wall Street considers when the Federal Reserve will cut stimulus.
Dow.........15915 -94.2 -0.59%
Nasdaq......4037 -8.1 -0.20%
S&P 500.....1795 -5.8 -0.32%
FTSE..........6532 -62.9 -0.95%
DAX...........9223 -178.6 -1.90%
CAC...........4172 -113.4 -2.65%
Nikkei......15750 +94.6 +0.60%
HSI..........23910 -128.1 -0.53%
Shanghai...2223 +15.3 +0.69%
Kospi.........2009 -21.4 -1.05%
ST Times...3188 -1.1 -0.03%
PSE...........6180 -43.9 -0.70%
Indo10Yr. 8.698% -0.059 -0.67%
US10Yr.....2.78% -0.03 -0.93%
VIX...........14.55 +0.32 +2.25%
USD Index80.63 -0.29 -0.37%
Como Indx.276.34+1.59 +0.58%
DJUSCL......135.13+1.23 +0.92%
(Dow Jones US Coal Index)
IndoCDS.....238.34 +8.34 +3.62%
(5-yr INOCD5)
Oil.........96.14 +2.28 +2.43%
Gold....1222.41 +3.31 +0.03%
IDR......11888 +118 +1.003%(blmbrg)
Kurs Tengah BI 11830 vs 11946
Euro.....1.3590 +0.0049 +0.36%
TLKM..36.02 -0.48 -1.32% Rp2141
BumiPlc...205.25 -17.50 -7.86%
EIDO........22.90 -0.21 -0.91%
Timah......22500 +10 +1.59%
Nickel......13380 -80 -0.59%
CPO........2619 -24 -0.92% $814
Corn.........431.25 +6.75 +1.59%
SoybeanOil.40.11 -0.49 -1.21%
Wheat.........668.25+6.50 +0.98%
DOC(24Sep)6750
(DE/ls- 04-12-13)
RISET CIMB 04 DESEMBER 2013 :
Coal Mining | PDF
No short-term game changer
NEUTRAL - Maintained
Author(s): Erindra KRISNAWAN, CFA +62 2130061732,
The recent re-emergence of market talk about China’s plan to restrict “low quality” coal imports may have a limited impact on Indonesia’s exports, but signifies China’s seriousness in handling pollution. In the short term, the coal price rebound has been in line with the market’s expectation, despite the indication of tightening market supply. We maintain our 2013-15 estimates and our DCF-based target prices for companies under our coverage. We maintain the sector’s Neutral rating as the coal price recovery may be capped by supply growth. Our top picks are ADRO and ITMG.
What We Think
While details of such a plan will only be available in mid-Dec, market sources suggested that the government defines “low-quality” coal as those products that have high sulphur and high ash content. This means that Indonesia’s low-CV (lignite) products should not be affected. Also, China’s rising domestic price and winter restocking have increased the import price (the Newcastle benchmark spot price rebounded to US$83-84/t this week). While the increase indicated the further tightening of market supply, the current price is still within market expectations in recent months.
What You Should Do
Following the recent rally, the Indonesian coal sector now trades at an average of 12.2x 2014 P/E, which in our view is just fair given the limited coal price upside. However, selected stocks (also our top sector picks) still trade at undemanding valuations – e.g., ADRO at 9.8x 2014 P/E and ITMG at 10.4x P/E.
IHSG (4.289)
Range: 4.256 – 4.350
---Indeks mengalami koreksi sehat dengan tutup diatas MA5-nya. Stochastic masih positif sementara RSI dan MACD berimpitan.
IHSG diperkirakan akan menguat dengan
support tutup gap di 4.256 sementara
resist 4.350.
BMRI (7.850)
Rekomendasi: BUY
---Harga berhasil break minor sideways menuju uptrend dan tutup di area upperband disertai volume. Stochastic dan MACD positif sementara RSI goldencross.
Target resist MA100 di 8.150. Stoploss jika
break & close dibawah support 7.750.
ASRI (520)
Rekomendasi: Spec BUY
---Selama dua hari, volume cukup tinggi di atas VMA5. Sempat testing support EMA5 di 500 namun rebound kembali. Stochastic netral dan MACD bertahan positif.
Level untuk entry di support 500 atau ketika break resist 530. Target harga testing resist EMA50 di 550 kemudian 570.
Cut loss jika closed di bawah 480.
BSDE (1.460)
Rekomendasi: Spec BUY
---Harga mengalami pull-back setelah sebelumnya naik cukup tinggi. Sempat
testing support EMA50 di 1.440 namun berhasil rebound.
Level entry antara 1.420-1.440, resist terdekat 1.480 kemudian 1.520. Stoploss jika closing di bawah 1.400.
DISCLAIMER
ON ASIAN MARKETs
(By: D'Origin; Source: BN, CNBC)
¤Asian equity markets lost ground on Wednesday with Japan leading losses on the back of a slightly stronger yen after shares on Wall Street extended their losses into a third session Tuesday.
¤Nikkei skids 2.5%.Japan's Nikkei index fell off its six-year closing high after the yen recovered from the previous day's six-month trough against the greenback overnight.
¤Investors used the opportunity to book profits on large-cap stocks that enjoyed a stellar rally last week. Telecom giants SoftBank and KDDI lost 1 and 2 percent, respectively while automakers Nissan Motor and Honda Motor fell over 1 percent each.
¤Shanghai 0.2% lower. Mainland shares were rangebound in early trade amid a lack of market catalysts. Sentiment has been hit in recent sessions after Beijing said initial public offerings will be resumed next year, sparking worries that a glut of new shares could tighten liquidity.
The yuan traded around 6.0914 against the U.S. dollar after the Society for Worldwide Interbank Financial Telecommunication (SWIFT) said it overtook the euro as the second most used currency in international trade finance.
Automakers were lower after the nation's auto lobby said it opposed the government's move to ease restrictions on foreign ownership in the country, saying that could weaken the position of domestic carmakers. Dongfeng Auto and Great Wall Motor were 0.3 percent lower in early trade.
¤Kospi 0.8% lower. South Korean shares dropped to a new one-week low for a second straight session. Data showing the nation's foreign reserves rose to a record high for a fifth consecutive month in November was unable to boost sentiment.
Sydney down 0.3%. Australia's benchmark S&P ASX 200 hit a new seven-week low for a third straight session after third-quarter real gross-domestic-product (GDP) missed estimates, rising an annual 2.3 percent compared to forecasts for a 2.6 percent gain.
¤¤¤¤¤¤
Adhi Karya Operasikan Tiga Hotel Berbintang Tahun Depan
PT Adhi Karya, Tbk akan segera meresmikan pengoperasian hotel bintang tiga dan empat pada tahun depan. Ke tiga hotel tersebut berada di Medan, Semarang, Bekasi dan Jakarta.
Direktur Utama Adhi Karya [ADHI 1,750 20 (+1,2%)] [, Kiswo Darmawan mengatakan, tahun ini pihaknya sedang membangun beberapa hotel bintang tiga di tiga kota tersebut. Beberapa diantaranya sudah mulai memasuki tahap konstruksi.
Kiswo mengatakan, hanya pembangunan hotal di Bekasi saja yang pengerjaannya molor karena di lokasi itu juga dibangun mal. "Blok M siap, Semarang dan Medan siap. Hanya Bekasi saja yang agak tertunda tahun ini, sehingga tidak bisa selesai tahun depan. Paling tidak, tahun depan ada tiga hotel yang bisa di-launching," kata Kiswo di Jakarta, Selasa (3/12).
Proses konstruksi ditargetkan selesai sebelum akhir tahun 2014 dan semua hotel sudah bisa operasikan sebelum akhir tahun. Sementara tanah yang digunakan untuk membangun hotel tersebut adalah tanah milik perseroan.(ipotnews)
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