Kondisi market konsolidasi seperti ini, semakin lama maka akan semakin akan terjdi kejutan, dan kejutan itu bisa saja tiba-tiba brak up ataupun break down tergantung dari berita yang dinanti.
Saham mining dan agri kemarin masih bisa naik lumayan, sedangksn sektor lainnya juga sepi dan cenderung stagnan.
Minimnya sentimen buat market menambah juga sepinya pasar, menghadapi kondisi seperti ini ada baiknya bagi pemegang saham yang banyak untuk dirampingkan dulu, untuk menjaga hal-hal yang tidak diinginkan.
Happy trading and always dicipline...
morning,
U.S. stocks advanced on Monday, with the Dow industrials coming back from a triple-digit deficit, as an upbeat read of the U.S. services sector countered concern about conflict in Ukraine and growth in China.
Dow.........16531 +17.7 +0.11%
Nasdaq......4138 +14.2 +0.34%
S&P 500.....1885 +3.5 +0.19%
FTSE..........6822 closed +0%
DAX...........9529 -26.5 -0.28%
CAC...........4463 +4.5 +0.10%
Nikkei......14458 closed +0%
HSI..........21976 -284.3 -1.28%
Shanghai...2027 +1.00 +0.05%
Kospi.........1959 closed +0%
ST Times...3242 -10.95 -0.08%
ASX 200....5462 +4.2 -0.34%
PSE...........6766 +23.5 +0.35%
Indo10Yr 8.1122 +0.0304+0.05%
US10Yr.....2.61% +0.02 +0.77%
VIX...........12.91 -0.34 -2.57%
USD Index...79.50 -0.02 -0.02%
Como Indx.307.24 +0.10 +0.03%
DJUSCL......146.28 -2.35 -1.58%
(Dow Jones US Coal Index)
IndoCDS.....172.045+1.045+0.
(5-yr INOCD5)
IDR...11520 -5.0 -0.04%(blmbrg)
Jisdor...... 11511 -26 -0.22%
Euro........1.3875 +0.0006+0.04%
TLKM..40.54+0.33+0.82% Rp2333
ARMS Plc...195.00 closed +0%
EIDO......... 27.66 -0.04 -0.14%
EEM.......... 41.38 -0.23 -0.28%
Oil............99.48 -0.28 -0.28%
Gold ......1309.84 +10.14 +0.78%
Timah......23070 close +0% Nickel......18235 close +0%
Coal..........72.75 -0.20 -0.27%
CPO.....2583RM -8 -0.31% $
Corn.........508.00 +8.50 +1.70%
SoybeanOil.41.17 -0.34 -0.82%
Wheat.......729.00+13.00+1.82%
(DE/ls- 06-05-14)
------------------------------
Indeks Dow Jones ditutup di level16,530.55 naik 17.66 point (+0.11%) #kopipagi
2) IHSG ditutup di level 4,842.50 naik 3.74 point (+0.08%) #kopipagi
3) AISA hampir capai target pendek #kopipagi di 2300. Jangka menengah, follow the uptrend until its end. Salprof
4) ASGR uptrend, ASII 7400-7700, stop loss jika di bawah range #kopipagi
5) BBTN 1080-1150. Beberapa saham perbankan dan property ada potensi sedikit teknikal rebound. #kopipagi
6) SMGR 14500-15000, INTP 21000-21800. #kopipagi
7) Minimizing risk is our concern, then profits will follow. #kopipagi
8) Manfaatkan masa konsolidasi untuk belajar. Baca #SmartTraderRichInvestor #SmartTradersNotGamblers bisa beli di orderstng@gmail.com
9) Demikian #kopipagi 6 Mei 2014 salam profit. www.ellen-may.com on.fb.me/ellen_may instagram : ellenmay_official
Salam Profit
Ellen May
Disclaimer : Segala rekomendasi untuk beli atau jual bukan sebuah perintahmelainkan sebagai bahan pertimbangan dalam transaksi saham.
Segala keuntungan & kerugian akibat pembelian saham menjadi tanggung jawab pelaku pasar & merupakan bagian dari risiko fluktuasi pasar.
06/05/2014) Early BIRD Technical Prespective (Edwin Sebayang CSA®-MNC Sec)
IDX Composite 4,816 - 4,853 Pola Four Price Doji terbentuk atas IDX mengindikasikan sideways.
Tuesday Stocks Pick:
BBRI 9950-10200 (TP 2014F:11500) Pola Four White Soldiers terbentuk atas BBRI mengindikasikan Bullish Continuation. BUY 10050
TLKM 2300-2360 (TP 2014F:2700) Pola Two White Soldiers terbentuk atas TLKM mengindikasikan Bullish Continuation. BUY 2315
GGRM 57300-58275 (TP 2014F:59950) Pola Short White Candle terbentuk atas GGRM mengindikasikan Bullish Reversal. BUY 57775
UNTR 21950-22300 (TP 2014F:23600) Pola Bearish harami Cross terbentuk atas UNTR mengindikasikan Bearish Reversal. BUY 22050
AALI 29200-29900 (TP 2014F:32500) Pola Five White Soldiers terbentuk atas AALI mengindikasikan Bullish Continuation. BUY 29650
KLBF 1530-1590 (TP 2014F:1620) Pola Black Opening Marubozu terbentuk atas KLBF mengindikasikan munculnya minor profit taking. BUY 1550
AISA 2225-2325 (TP 2014F:2500) Pola Three White Soldiers terbentuk atas AISA mengindikasikan Bullish Continuation. BUY 2275
ACES 755-840 (TP 2014F:980) Pola Two White Soldiers terbentuk atas ACES mengindikasikan Bullish Continuation. BUY 790
UNVR 29300-300450 (TP 2014F:31500). Pola Two White Soldiers terbentuk atas UNVR mengindikasikan Bullish Continuation. BUY 29700
BBCA 10850-11200 (TP 2014F:12750) Pola Gravestone Doji terbentuk atas BBCA mengindikasikan melambatnya tekanan jual. BUY 10950
ICBP 9900-10050 (TP 2014F:12650) Pola White Opening Marubozu terbentuk atas ICBP mengindikasikan melambatnya aksi jual. BUY 9950
BMRI 9750-10025 (TP 2014F:10500) Pola Two Black Crows terbentuk atas BMRI mengindikasikan Bearish Continuation. BOW 9825
ADHI 2920-3060 (TP 2014F:3400) Pola Bearish Engulfing terbentuk atas ADHI mengindikasikan Bearish Reversal. BOW 2980
INDF 6950-7150 (TP 2014F:8000) Pola Two Black Crows terbentuk atas INDF mengindikasikan munculnya profit taking. BOW 7000 (ES CSA®-MNC Sec/Disc On)
06/05/2014) Early BIRD Fundamental Perspective (Edwin Sebayang CSA®-MNC Securities)
Setelah DJIA sempat turun -135 poin diawal perdagangan akibat mengecewakannya data manufacturing China yg terkontraksi kembali di bln April utk ke-4 bln dmn data HSBC Holdings Plc & Markit Economics purchasing managers’ index naik kelevel 48.11, atau lebih rendah ketimbang konsensus ekonom dilevel 48.4 atau lebih rendah dari preliminary reading dilevel 48.3 serta didorong turun akibat persoalan di Ukraina, tetapi setelah released ISM non-manufacturing index bln April yg naik kelevel 55.2, lebih tinggi ketimbang bln Maret dilevel 53.1, DJIA mengalami rebound cukup besar & akhirnya ditutup naik tipis +17.66 poin (+0.11%).IHSG ES perkirakan bergerak flat dlm perdagangan Selasa merujuk mengecewakannya surplus neraca perdagangan Indonesia bln Maret yg turun mjd US$ 673.2 juta dari Februari US$ 785.3 juta, BPS kembali mengumumkan perlambatan data GDP Q1/2014 yg tumbuh 5.21%, lebih kecil dari konsensus ekonom 5.59% & jauh lebih kecil dari ekspektasi pemerintah yg tumbuh 5.7%-5.8% dmn ada 4 faktor penyebab perlambatan pertumbuhan ekonomi yakni: 1) pelarangan ekspor bijih mineral mentah; 2) penurunan produksi sektor pertanian khususnya tanaman bahan makanan karena cuaca buruk; 3) perlambatan di sektor perdagangan akibat terdampak kebijakan di sektor pertambangan, & ke 4) perlambatan laju pertumbuhan di sektor perbankan, shg utk mencapai target pertumbuhan GDP 2014 versi pemerintah dibutuhkan kenaikan GDP utk 3 kuartal kedepan rerata HARUS tumbuh per kuartal 5,86% s/d 5.99%. Yang mjd pertanyaan apakah mampu terjadi?
DJIA +17.66 +0.11% 16530.55
NASDAQ +14.16 +0.34% 4138.06
OIL -0.28 -0.28% 99.48
GOLD +6.4 +0.49% 1309.3
TIN Unch 23,095
NICKEL Unch 18,270
CPO -9 -0.35% 2,583
EIDO -0.04 -0.14% $27.66
TLK 40.54 (2,335)IDR 11,520
Tuesday IDX Range: 4,816 - 4,853
BUY: BBRI, TLKM, GGRM, UNTR, AALI, KLBF, AISA, ACES, UNVR, BBCA, ICBP BOW: BMRI, ADHI, INDF (ES CSA®-MNC Sec/Disc On)
Teknikal Mandiri Sekuritas
mengatakan, IHSG diperdagangkan diatas EMA 200 hari. Indeks bergerak konsolidasi dan tertahan pada level 4.842. Indicator
stochastic di zona 50% dan IHSG kemungkinan masih akan bergerak dalam kisaran terbatas. Hari ini indeks akan menguji
resistance terdekat di level 4.853 dan
support di 4.824. Sedangkan rekomendasi teknikal saham untuk hari ini adalah:
Ticker Action Target Stoploss
TLKM Buy 2.420 2.240
SMGR Spec Buy 15.350 14.350
ASII Bow 7.850 7.350
BBRI Buy 10.500 9.375
PTPP Spec Buy 1.920 1.760
Market Snapshot 6 May===================
• U.S. stocks ended slightly higher as data showed strength in the ISM non-mfg index that rose to 55.2 in April from 53.1 in March, topping expectations for a read of 54.1 and Apple shares rose above $600 for the first time since late 2012.
• EU predicted low inflation will remain a threat to euro-area for at least the next 2-years as it trimmed its economic-growth forecast and warned of the impact of tensions with Russia.
• Indonesia’s 5.21% economic growth missed analysts’ estimates last quarter, weakening to the slowest pace since 2009 after interest-rate increases last year curbed investment and a mineral-ore ban hurt the mining industry.
• Strong investment growth in Indonesia in 1Q14 failed to translate into greater job creation, as companies investing more in capital-intensive sectors than labor-intensive ones. Only 260,000 jobs were created when total realized investments grew by an impressive 15% in 1Q14, that was 40% decline from 361,000 jobs in 1Q13, and a far cry from the 430,000 jobs in 4Q13.
• PT Indonesia Infrastructure Finance plans to raise loans this year to more than Rp4 trillion from Rp2.5 trillion last year, the funding that the government-backed company provides to help build roads, power plants and airports.
• As Indonesian lenders saw their profits slump in the 1st quarter of this year, several bankers said that they were expecting further decline throughout the year as rising costs overshadow their earnings.
• The next government may have limited room to speed up economic growth as the existing Cabinet is proposing a conservative 2015 state budget that would prolong tight policy making until the end of next year. GDP growth will be targeted to hover at 5.5%-6.3% next year, Chatib Basri said.
IndoPremier
Tech Corner 060514
IHSG (4.843)
Range: 4.765 – 4.885
---Indeks naik tipis dengan candle merah dan tutup dibawah MA20 serta masih berada di fase minor sideways. Stochastic berimpitan cenderung negatif sementara RSI dan MACD masih negatif.
IHSG diperkirakan akan melemah dengan support di 4.765 sementara resist di 4.885.
AISA (2.285)
Rekomendasi: Sell On Strength
---Harga breakout up pola rising wedges dengan volume namun tutup diluar upperband. Stochastic dan RSI yang sudah overbought menunjukkan potensi profit taking meski MACD masih positif.
Resist di 2.385 sementara support di 2.215.
TINS (1.500)
Rekomendasi: BUY
---Harga kembali naik, break resist EMA(5,10) dengan volume yang tidak tinggi. Stochastic netral dan MACD masih positif.
Target harga 1.560 kemudian 1.600. Support 1.480, cut loss jika close di bawah 1.415.
INCO (3.600)
Rekomendasi: Spec BUY
---Harga kembali naik, break resist EMA(5,10) meskipun volume masih tipis. Stochastic netral sementara MACD positif.
Target harga 3.745. Support 3.535, cut loss jika break 3.440.
DISCLAIMER ON
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