Setelah sempat diawal perdagangan DJIA turun -43 poin akibat akibat aksi jual high growth income stock, ttp berbalik naik ditutup menguat +117.52 poin (+0.72%) disertai kejatuhan The Vix -2.9% setelah Pres Rusia Vladimir Putin mengatakan akan menarik mundur pasukannya serta memberikan sinyal bersedia melakukan perundingan & mencari jalan keluar atas krisis Ukraina dgn European Head of the Organization for Security and Co-operation & memerintahkan milisi Pro Russia utk menghentikan melakukan Referendum yg akan dilakukan 11 Mei serta kenaikan DJIA didorong statement Janet Yellen yg mengatakan Bank Sentral tetap melanjutkan easy money policy krn ekonomi AS masih jauh dari apa yg diharapkan merujuk data rendahnya tingkat penyerapan tenaga kerja serta inflasi yh masih dibawah level 2%. Hingga Rabu (07/05), 422 emiten tergabung dlm Indeks S&P 500 tlh melaporkan LK Q1/2013, 68.2% diantara emiten tsb melaporkan earnings diatas perkiraan awal (jauh lebih bagus dr rerata sejak thn 1994 sebesar 63%), dimana laba bersih diperkirakan naik 5% di Q1/2014, lebih kecil dari perkiraan awal tahun sebesar 6.5% tetapi jauh lebih tinggi dari perkiraan yg dibuat dipertengahan April dilevel 0.6%.Setelah Rabu IHSG bergerak anomali ditengah kejatuhan Bursa Asia didorong RUMOURS akan diturunkannya BI Rate dlm pertemuan RDGBI Kamis ini mengingat tajamnya kejatuhan GDP Q1/2014 kelevel terendah sejak thn 2009, IHSG berpotensi menguat terbatas dlm perdagangan Kamis merujuk naiknya DJIA +0.72% & EIDO +0.65%.
DJIA +117.52 +0.72% 16518.54
NASDAQ -13.09 -0.32% 4067.67
OIL +1.30 +1.31% 100.8
GOLD -18.90 -1.44% 1289.70
TIN -65 -0.28% 23,105
NICKEL +100 +0.54% 18,650
CPO +11 +0.43% 2,579
EIDO +0.18 +0.65% $27.79
TLK 41.11 (2,378)IDR 11,570
Thursday IDX Range: 4,812 - 4,894
BUY: INCO, BBRI, ASII, TLKM, PGAS, UNVR, AALI, ICBP, BMRI, ADHI, WIKA, SIMP, LSIP, AISA, ACES (ES CSA®-MNC Sec/Disc On)
Thursday (08/05/2014) Early BIRD Technical Prespective (Edwin Sebayang CSA®-MNC Sec)
IDX Composite 4,812 - 4,894 Pola Bullish Engulfing terbentuk atas IDX mengindikasikan Bullish Reversal.
Thursday Stocks Pick:
INCO 3760-4000 (TP 2014F:4200) Pola Two White Soldiers terbentuk atas INCO mengindikasikan Bullish Continuation. BUY 3915
BBRI 10050-10300 (TP 2014F:11500) Pola White Opening Marubozu terbentuk atas BBRI mengindikasikan Bullish Reversal. BUY 10150
ASII 7400-7650 (TP 2014F:7950) Pola Bullish Engulfing terbentuk atas ASII mengindikasikan Bulllish Reversal. BUY 7455
TLKM 2300-2380 (TP 2014F:2700) Pola White Opening Marubozu terbentuk atas TLKM mengindikasikan Bullish Reversal. BUY 2340
PGAS 5275-5450 (TP 2014F:5800) Pola White Closing Marubozu terbentuk atas PGAS mengindikasikan Bullish Reversal. BUY 5325
UNVR 29600-30900 (TP 2014F:31500). Pola White Candle terbentuk atas UNVR mengindikasikan Bullish Reversal. BUY 30200
AALI 28700-29750 (TP 2014F:32500) Pola Bullish Harami Terbentuk atas AALI mengindikasikan Bullish Reversal. BUY 29200
ICBP 9925-10100 (TP 2014F:12650) Pola Hammer terbentuk atas ICBP mengindikasikan munculnya aksi beli. BUY 9975
BMRI 9800-10100 (TP 2014F:10500) Pola Bullish Engulfing terbentuk atas BMRI mengindikasikan Bullish Reversal. BUY 9850
ADHI 3010-3100 (TP 2014F:3400) Pola Bullish Engulfing terbentuk atas ADHI mengindikasikan Bulllish Reversal. BUY 3120
WIKA 2245-2335 (TP 2014F:2700) Pola Bullish Engulfing terbentuk atas WIKA mengindikasikan Bullish Reversal. BUY 2275
SIMP 970-1050 (TP 2014F:1100) Pola White Marubozu terbentuk atas SIMP mengindikasikan Bullish Reversal. BUY 1000
AISA 2250-2350 (TP 2014F:2500) Pola White Marubozu terbentuk atas AISA mengindikasikan Bullish Reversal. BUY 2290
ACES 775-825 (TP 2014F:980) Pola Bullish Engulfing terbentuk atas ACES mengindikasikan Bullish Reversal. BUY 795 (ES CSA®-MNC Sec/Disc On)
1) Indeks Dow Jones 7 Mei ditutup di level 16,518.54 menguat 117.52 point (+0.72%) #kopipagi
2) Masih dalam masa konsolidasinya, IHSG 7 Mei ditutup di level 4,862.07 menguat 27.60 point (0.57%) #kopipagi
3) ADHI range 3080-3200. PTPP 1850-1950. #kopipagi
4) INCO target 4000-4050 waspada profit taking di area tsb. #kopipagi
5) KAEF uji 930 jika breakout lanjutkan trend naik. #kopipagi
6) Meski pasar flat, tetap ada sedikit peluang, biasanya dari saham2 berkapitalisasi sedang - kecil. #kopipagi
7) ASGR, BAJA, SSMS, TELE, follow the uptrend until its end (mid term trade). #kopipagi
8) BAJA breakout dari 1600, siap melanjutkan trend naiknya. #kopipagi
9) I always knew I was going to be rich. I don't think I ever doubted it for a minute. Warren Buffett
10) Demikian #kopipagi 8 Mei 2014 salam profit ! http://ellen-may.com / instagram ellenmay_official /http://on.fb.me/ellen_may
Salam Profit
Ellen May
Disclaimer : Segala rekomendasi untuk beli atau jual bukan sebuah perintahmelainkan sebagai bahan pertimbangan dalam transaksi saham.
Segala keuntungan & kerugian akibat pembelian saham menjadi tanggung jawab pelaku pasar & merupakan bagian dari risiko fluktuasi pasar.
Global Market Snapshot 8 May
===================
• U.S. stocks mostly rose after comments from Janet Yellen signaled continued support for the economy, but the Nasdaq fell for a 2nd session as momentum names sold off. Yellen made it clear she believes the economy still requires a strong dose of stimulus because unemployment and inflation are well short of the Fed’s goals. “A high degree of monetary accommodation remains warranted,” she said.
• Gold futures fell the most in 3-weeks on speculation that The Fed will further curb monetary stimulus as the U.S. economy recovers and after Russia’s President Vladimir Putin said the nation pulled back its troops from the Ukrainian border.
• China’s weakening property market poses an increasing danger to local governments, threatening to strain their finances and intensify an economic slowdown. Land sales in 20 major cities fell 5% yoy in March, the biggest drop in at least a year.
• Government officials and economists are still holding a bullish outlook for Indonesia, despite the 1Q GDP growth slowing to 5.21% which is a temporary driven by a short-term 0.8% decline in exports as well as gov't spending that grew 3.6% vs 6.5% a quarter earlier.
• The increase in the price of electricity for the industrial sector, which was introduced on May 1, has forced the Industry Ministry to lower this year’s growth target for non-oil industries from 6.4% to below 6%.
• Indonesia's forex reserves at the end of April rose to US$105.6 billion from $102.6 billion in March. The increase was supported by the country's income from oil and gas exports.
• ARMS shareholders split over London delisting plan as it could instantly lose all the corporate governance and some feared that the proposal could once again create counter-productive battles among the main shareholders.
Global Market Statistics
DJIA.........16518 +117. +0.72%
S&P 500....1878 +10.5 +0.56%
Nasdaq......4067 -13.0 -0.32%
FTSE..........6796 -2.12 -0.03%
CAC...........4446 +18.4 +0.41%
DAX...........9521 +53.8 +0.57%
Nikkei......14033 -424. -2.93%
HSI..........21746 -230. -1.05%
US10Yr.......2.59 -0.00 -0.00%
EUR........1.3911 -0.00 -0.11%
IDR..........11577 +58.5 +0.51%
EIDO.........27.79 +0.18 +0.65%
EEM.........41.79 +0.22 +0.53%
TLK..........41.11 +0.33 +0.81%
ARMS Plc..197.0 -3.00 -1.50%
CrudeOil...100.7 +1.27 +1.28%
Gold..........1289 -18.3 -1.39%
Tin...........23055 -35.0 -0.15%
Nickel......18640 +140. +0.75%
Coal.........72.75 0.00 0.00%
CPO......RM2578 +10.0 +0.39%
(8 May 2014)
Good morning,
U.S. stocks pulled mostly higher on Wednesday, as Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen's testimony did nothing to rattle investors and after Russian President Vladimir Putin signaled a willingness to talk on Ukraine. The Nasdaq Composite, however, remained solidly in negative terrain, as investors continued to cycle out of so-called momentum stocks.
Dow.........16519 +117.5+0.72% Nasdaq......4068 -13.1 -0.32%
S&P 500.....1878 +10.34+0.56%
FTSE..........6796 -2.1 -0.03%
DAX...........9521 +53.8 +0.57%
CAC...........4446 +18.4 +0.41%
Nikkei......14033 -424.1 -2.93%
HSI..........21746 -230.1 -1.05%
Shanghai...2011 -17.95 -0.89%
Kospi.........1940 -19.6 -1.00%
ST Times...3236 -9.13 -0.28%
ASX 200....5481 +19.2 +0.35%
PSE...........6749 -17.4 -0.26%
Indo10Yr 8.1475 +0.0263+0.32%
US10Yr.....2.59% -0.005 -0.19%
VIX...........13.40 -0.40 -2.90%
USD Index...79.24 +0.14 +0.18%
Como Indx.307.00 -0.28 -0.09%
DJUSCL......144.26 -0.42 -0.29%
(Dow Jones US Coal Index)
IndoCDS.....158.00 -7.50 -4.53%
(5-yr INOCD5)
IDR...11578 +59.0 +0.51%(blmbrg) Jisdor...... 11527 +16 +0.14%
Euro........1.3911 -0.0017 -0.12%
TLKM..41.11+0.33+0.81%Rp2369
ARMS Plc...197.00 -3.00 -1.50% EIDO......... 27.79 +0.18 +0.65%
EEM.......... 41.79 +0.22 +0.53%
Oil..........100.77 +1.27 +1.28%
Gold ......1289.86 -18.67 -1.43%
Timah......23055 -35 -0.15% Nickel......18640 +140 +0.76%
Coal..........72.75 -0.20 -0.27%
CPO.........2578RM +10 +0.39% Corn.........514.00 -3.50 -0.68%
SoybeanOil.40.83 -0.28 -0.68%
Wheat.......737.75 -1.25 -0.17%
(DE/ls- 08-05-14)
********
1.PP No.39/2014 Buka Peluang Luas PMA Masuk Usaha Tambang dan Migas dalam lampiran 2 PP itu disebutkan bidang-bidang usaha sektor ESDM yang dicadangkan untuk Usaha Mikro, Kecil, Menengah, dan Koperasi, Kemitraan, kepemilikan modal asing, dan modal dalam negeri 100%. (ENERGI TODAY)
2.Larangan Ekspor Mineral Ore, Harga Nikel Diprediksi Melonjak 20% http://t.co/jC4ISC8qxd
------------------------------
COAL
FR CLSA : Coal production quota will be under regional government’s authority. According to the new upcoming regulation which will be published this year by the Ministry of Energy and Resources, the regional government will have the authority to limit each producer productions. In addition, coal production growth will be capped at 1% with production quota will be introduced based on CV and per region. There will be no more coal production monitoring in the central government level. Comment: Coal production from IUP is under regional govt's supervision while CCoW is under central govt's. The fear would be among the smaller miners, trading of quotas from one miner to another. That could lead to rent seeking by miner-by-license-only from actual small miners. The latter would experience higher production cost.
------------------------------
Lautandhana Securindo | YJ
Global Market Statistics 8 May 2014
DJIA.........16518 +117. +0.72%
S&P 500....1878 +10.5 +0.56%
Nasdaq......4067 -13.0 -0.32%
FTSE..........6796 -2.12 -0.03%
CAC...........4446 +18.4 +0.41%
DAX...........9521 +53.8 +0.57%
Nikkei......14033 -424. -2.93%
HSI..........21746 -230. -1.05%
US10Yr.......2.59 -0.00 -0.00%
EUR........1.3911 -0.00 -0.11%
IDR..........11577 +58.5 +0.51%
EIDO.........27.79 +0.18 +0.65%
EEM.........41.79 +0.22 +0.53%
TLK..........41.11 +0.33 +0.81%
ARMS Plc..197.0 -3.00 -1.50%
CrudeOil...100.7 +1.27 +1.28%
Gold..........1289 -18.3 -1.39%
Tin...........23055 -35.0 -0.15%
Nickel......18640 +140. +0.75%
Coal.........72.75 0.00 0.00%
CPO......RM2578 +10.0 +0.39%
:::» High-Low Tin Price «:::
- 2010: H 27.350, L 15.200
- 2011: H 33.300, L 18.525
- 2012: H 25.500, L 17.345
- 2013: H 25.025, L 18.850
- 2014: H 23.700, L 21.500
:::» High-Low Nickel Price «:::
- 2010: H 27.290, L 17.050
- 2011: H 29.300, L 16.750
- 2012: H 21.800, L 15.250
- 2013: H 18.725, L 13.285
- 2014: H 18.640*, L 13.413
:::» High-Low Palm Oil «:::
- 2010: H 3.780, L 2.384
- 2011: H 3.927, L 2.787
- 2012: H 3.568, L 2.027
- 2013: H 2.645, L 2.167
- 2014: H 2.922, L 2.494
:::» High-Low Coal Price «:::
- 2010: H 126.10, L 88.00
- 2011: H 138.50, L 108.95
- 2012: H 118.95, L 78.05
- 2013: H 94.05, L 76.10
- 2014: H 84.25, L 72.75
:::» High-Low USD-IDR «:::
- 2010: H 9.428, L 8.891
- 2011: H 9.155, L 8.465
- 2012: H 9.705, L 8.935
- 2013: H 12.263, L 9.618
- 2014: H 12.240, L 11.288
:::» High-Low Gold Price«:::
- 2010: H 1.424, L 1.063
- 2011: H 1.900, L 1.314
- 2012: H 1.790, L 1.539
- 2013: H 1.693, L 1.189
- 2014: H 1.383, L 1.201
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