Minggu, 09 Februari 2014

Senin, 10 Feb 2014

January Retail Sales yg diperkirakan flat & Jobless Claims dihari Kamis serta Consumer Sentiment &  Industrial Production dihari Jumat.

Sedangkan beberapa emiten besar di Wall Street yg akan merelease LK FY 2013 seperti: McDonald's, Cisco Systems, PepsiCo, MetLife, Lowe, AIG, Kraft Foods.

Dari dalam negeri, setelah IHSG minggu lalu naik +47.91 poin (+1.08%) diikuti net buy asing YTD mencapai Rp 2.329 triliun, maka minggu ini ada peluang IHSG melanjutkan kenaikannya diatas level 4,500 merujuk lanjutan release LK FY 2013, tetapi menjelang Kamis 13 Feb'14, ES perkirakan investor akan menahan diri untuk melakukan pembelian karena menunggu apa yg menjadi keputusan RDG BI atas BI Rate.

For Sure, Senin ini IHSG ES perkirakan akan melanjutkan kenaikannya merujuk kenaikan tajam DJIA +165.55 poin (+1.06%), EIDO +1.05% serta penguatan IDR atas USD.

Beberapa saham yg patut dipantau Senin ini spt: WIKA dimana laba bersih thn 2013 ES perkirakan akan melampaui Rp 546 miliar atau SMGR yg menargetkan laba bersih thn 2014 naik 10% mjd Rp7,62 triliun dari proyeksi sepanjang 2013 Rp6,35 triliun didorong perkirakan pendapatan thn 2014 Rp25,9 triliun atau tumbuh 20% dari thn 2013 yg diperkirakan Rp21,9 triliun.

DJIA +165.55 +1.06% 15794.08
OIL +2.04 +2.09% 99.88
GOLD +5.7 +0.45% 1262.9
NICKEL +155 +1.11% 14,140
TIN +35 +0.16% 22,110
CPO +10 +0.39% 2,578
EIDO +0.25 +1.05% $24.16
TLK 37.75 (2,294)
IDR 12,155

Monday IDX Range: 4,446 - 4,515

BUY: WIKA, SMGR, BBRI, ASII, ACES, JSMR, INTP, CPIN, WSKT, ITMG, BMRI, BBCA, BSDE, INCO, SMRA, UNTR (ES CSA®-MNC Sec/Disc On)


Monday (10/02/2014) Early BIRD Technical Prespective (Edwin Sebayang CSA®-MNC Sec)

IDX Composite 4,446 - 4,515
Pola Four White Soldiers terbentuk atas IDX mengindikasikan Bullish Continuation.

Monday Stocks Pick:
WIKA 1980-2080 (TP 2014F:2400) Pola Matching Low terbentuk atas WIKA mengindikasikan melambatnya aksi beli. BUY 2020

SMGR 14700-15300 (TP 2014F:16550) Pola White Candle terbentuk atas SMGR mengindikasikan Bullish Reversal. BUY 14900

BBRI 8550-8925 (TP 2014F:9800) Pola Four White Soldiers terbentuk atas BBRI mengindikasikan Bullish Continuation. BUY 8675

ASII 6350-6700 (TP 2014F:7950) Pola Three White Soldiers terbentuk atas ASII mengindikasikan Bullish Continuation. BUY 6475

ACES 760-810 (TP 2014F:980) Pola Three White Soldiers terbentuk atas ACES mengindikasikan Bullish Continuation. BUY 775

JSMR 5050-5300 (TP 2014F:5590) Pola Two White Soldiers  terbentuk atas JSMR mengindikasikan Bullish Continuation. BUY 5125

INTP 21300-21950 (TP 2014F:24100) Pola White Candle terbentuk atas INTP mengindikasikan Bullish Reversal. BUY 21450

CPIN 3925-4075 (TP 2014F:4200) Pola Two White Soldiers terbentuk atas CPIN mengindikasikan Bullish Continuation. BUY 3975

WSKT 580-630 (TP 2014F:750) Pola Evening Doji Star  terbentuk atas WSKT mengindikasikan melambatnya aksi beli. BUY 595

ITMG 27500-28850 (TP 2014F:30600) Pola Four White Soldiers terbentuk atas ITMG mengindikasikan Bullish Continuation. BUY 28000

BSDE 1495-1690 (TP 2014F:1680) Pola Three White Soldiers terbentuk atas BSDE mengindikasikan Bullish Continuation. BUY 1520

INCO 2370-2515 (TP 2014F:3150) Pola Two White Soldiers terbentuk atas INCO mengindikasikan Bullish Continuation. BUY 2410

SMRA 905-980 (TP 2014F:1050) Pola Two White Soldiers terbentuk atas SMRA mengindikasikan Bullish Continuation. BUY 920

UNTR 17850-18650 (TP 2014F:23600) Pola Bullish Harami terbentuk atas UNTR mengindikasikan Bullish Reversal. BUY 18150 (ES CSA®-MNC Sec/Disc On)


Good morning,

U.S. stocks rallied on Friday, with Wall Street clearing weekly losses and posting its best two-day gain in four months, as investors decided the nonfarm payrolls report wasn't so terrible after all.

The government reported the creation of 113,000 jobs in January versus expectations of 185,000. The jobless rate fell to 6.6 percent versus an expectation of 6.7 percent.
The report showed increased employment in construction, and declines in retail and government work.

Dow.........15794  +165.6 +1.06%
Nasdaq......4126  +68.7   +1.69%
S&P 500.....1797  +23.6   +1.33%

FTSE..........6572  +13.4   +0.20%
DAX...........9302  +45.3   +0.49%
CAC...........4288   +40.1  +0.96%

Nikkei......14462   +307.3 +2.17%
HSI..........21637   +213.7  +1.00%
Shanghai...2045   +11.4    +0.56%
Kospi.........1923   +14.6    +0.77%
ST Times...3013   +45.3    +1.25%
PSE...........6011   +96.7    +1.63%

Indo10Yr. 9.1131  +0.057  +0.63%
US10Yr.....2.67%   -0.03      -1.00%

VIX...........15.29    -1.94     -11.26%

USD Index...80.69 -0.20     -0.25%
Como Indx.289.77 +2.55   +0.89%
DJUSCL......127.08  -0.82    -0.64%
(Dow Jones US Coal Index)

IndoCDS.....215.79 -0.375   -0.17%
(5-yr INOCD5)

IDR......12161 -33  -0.27%(blmbrg)
Kurs Tengah BI..12176  vs  12159
Euro.....1.3535 +0.0045  +0.33%

TLKM..37.75 +0.35 +0.94% Rp2295
ARMS Plc...220.25  -8.75     -3.82%
EIDO.........24.16    +0.25   +1.05%

Oil...........98.88     +1.02   +1.04%
Gold ......1267.27  +9.96   +0.79%
Timah......22035    +15      +0.07%
Nickel......14105    +150    +1.37%
Coal..........79.90  -0.50     -0.62%
CPO.........2577RM+12+0.47%$773
Corn.........444.25 +1.25  +0.28%
SoybeanOil.38.56  -0.10   -0.26%
Wheat.......577.50 -3.25    -0.56%
DOC(24Sep)6750

(DE/ls- 10-02-14)
----------------------------------------------

1)      Indeks Dow Jones 7 Feb 2014 ditutup di level 15,794.08 menguat 165.55 point (1.06%) #kopipagi

2)      IHSG 7 Feb ditutup di level 4,466.67 naik 41.96 (0.95%) #kopipagi

3)      Sektor property potensi aktif, ASRI potensi uji resisten 600. BEST 470-510. BKSL 157-163. PWON 300-340 #kopipagi
4)      BSDE capai target #kopipagi 7 Feb di 1540. Lindungi keuntungan dgn trailing stop.

5)      CTRA potensi uji resisten 950 dan 1000. CTRP dan CTRS jg berpotensi aktif #kopipagi
6)      Konstruksi : LCGP dari #kopipagi 5 dan 6 Feb, jangka menengah masih trend naik. Jangka pendek rawan profit taking.

7)      Perbankan : BBTN upside sd 1090 dan BBRI capai target #kopipagi 7 Feb , lindungi keuntungan Anda, salam profit !

8)      Sektor lainnya : GJTL btrakout di 1950, range trading 1950-2100. INCO 2400-2600. RALS 1350-1450. #kopipagi
9)      AISA waspada profit taking di area 1800. ARNA potensi uji area resisten 850. TRAM breakout di 1660 jangka menengah range 1660-1760. #kopipagi
10)   Keep simple always. Trader need no noise but chart. #TradingProfits #kopipagi
11)   Demikian #kopipagi 10 Februari 2014 semoga mencerahkan. Salam profit, Ellen May www.ellen-may.com



--
Salam profit,



Ellen May



Twitter : @pakarsaham 

www.ellen-may.com



Learn,practice & pray, miracle happens. No action nothing happen


Global Market Statistics 10 Feb 2014

DJIA.........15794 +165. +1.06%
S&P 500....1797 +23.6 +1.33%
Nasdaq......4126 +68.7 +1.69%
FTSE..........6572 +13.4 +0.20%
CAC...........4228 +40.1 +0.96%
DAX...........9302 +45.3 +0.49%
Nikkei......14462 +307. +2.17%
HSI..........21637 +214. +1.00%
US10Yr.......2.68  -0.02  -0.74%
EUR........1.3635 +0.00 +0.32%
IDR..........12161  -33.0  -0.27%
EIDO.........24.16 +0.25 +1.05%
EEM..........38.73 +0.22 +0.57%
TLK...........37.75 +0.35 +0.94%
ARMS Plc...220.2  -8.75  -3.82%
CrudeOil....99.88 +2.04 +2.09%
Gold...........1267 +9.08 +0.72%
Tin...........22035 +15.0 +0.07%
Nickel......14105 +190. +1.36%
Coal..........79.90  -0.50  -0.62%
CPO.......RM2577 +9.00 +0.35%

Global Market Snapshot
=================
• U.S. stocks surged on Friday as investors set aside any fear of economic softness in a weak jobs report that was dulled by harsh weather conditions and traders focused on expectations of further economic strength.

• U.S. job creation slowed sharply over the past two months as payrolls rose only 113,000 last month after a meager 75,000 gain in Dec. However, the unemployment rate hit a new 5-year low of 6.6% from 6.7%.

• Republicans who control the U.S. House eye a possible vote on Wednesday to raise the debt limit while Treasury Secretary warned that it could start to face payment problems after Feb. 27.

• Outflows from EM equity funds since the start of this year now exceed those for all of 2013 after investors continued to flee during the past week, citing EPFR Global data.

• The government and BI will continue to safeguard inflation in 2014, which has been targeted at 4.5% ±1%, by preparing a sufficient supply of food commodities.

• Jakarta Governor has promised to provide a 200-ha plot of land in Marunda for Foxconn’s first Indonesian factory. Foxconn would bring the blueprint of the plant and discuss further in April

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