Kombinasi tipisnya perdagangan di Wall Street menyambut libur Thanksgiving & dimulainya Christmas Shopping Season serta menguatnya Consumer Sentiment bln November dilevel 75.1 (jauh lebih tinggi dibandingkan konsensus dilevel 73.5), naiknya Leading Economic Indicators Index bln Oktober sebesar 0.2%, lebih sedikit pekerja Amerika mengajukan Jobless Benefits mingguan serta lebih kuatnya Business Activity utk Chicago Region menjadi faktor pendorong DJIA kembali ditutup dilevel tertinggi sepanjang masa kembali setelah menguat sebesar +24.53 poin (+0.15%) dilevel 16097.33 disertai kenaikan The Vix +1.33% ditutup dilevel 12.98.
Sisa 20 hari perdagangan menjelang closing IHSG diakhir tahun 2013 serta merujuk kenaikan tipis EIDO:US sebesar +0.13% & DJIA ditutup dilevel tertinggi baru sepanjang masa setelah naik +24.53 poin (+0.15%), tetapi pelaku pasar harus sangat berhati-hati seiring nilai tukar Rupiah terus melemah atas US Dollar yg saat ini berada pada level Rp 11,886 serta kembali turunnya harga Nymex oil sebesar -1.42%, gold -0.31%, nickel -1.l52% & tin -0.98% menjadi faktor penggerak IHSG dimana ES memperkirakan IHSG bergerak dalam kisaran terbatas dalam perdagangan Kamis.
Perlu ditekankan disini, investor MNC Securities sebaiknya melakukan aksi SELL atau AVOID khususnya atas saham yg mempunyai hutang miliaran US Dollar (apalagi yg akan jatuh tempo dalam waktu dekat ini) karena pastinya akan sangat memberatkan emiten tsb.
DJIA +24.53 +0.15% 16097.33
S&P +4.48 +0.25% 1807.23
NASDAQ +27 +0.67% 4044.75
VIX +0.17 +1.33% 12.98
OIL -1.42 -1.52% 92.26
GOLD -3.90 -0.31% 1237.5
TIN. -225. -0.98%. 22645
NICKEL -205. -1.52%. 13275
CPO +18. +0.69%. 2640
EIDO +0.03 +0.13% 23.25
TLK 36.28 (2,156
IDR 11,886
Thursday IDX Range: 4,223 - 4,300
BUY: PGAS, TLKM, UNVR, SMRA, INTP, JSMR, INDF, BWPT, GGRM, MAPI, AALI, SMGR, BBCA, PTPP, WIKA
SELL: ANTM, BUMI (ES CSA®-MNC Sec/Disc On)
Thursday (28/11/2013) Early BIRD Technical Prespective (Edwin Sebayang CSA®-MNC Sec)
IDX Composite 4,223 - 4,300
Pola Bullish Harami terbentuk atas IDX mengindikasikan Bullish Reversal.
Thursday Stocks Pick:
PGAS 4625-4825 (TP 2013F:6550) Pola Bullish Harami terbentuk atas PGAS mengindikasikan Bullish Harami. BUY 4700
TLKM 2050-2200 (TP 2013F:2350) Pola Bullish Harami terbentuk atas TLKM mengindikasikan Bullish Reversal. BUY 2100
UNVR 26000-27700 (TP 2013F:37050). Pola Bullish Harami terbentuk atas UNVR mengindikasikan Bullish Reversal. BUY 26650
SMRA 790-870 (TP 2013F:1250) Pola White Closing Marubozu terbentuk atas SMRA mengindikasikan Bullish Reversal. BUY 820
INTP 18600-19300 (TP 2013F:24400) Pola Matching High terbentuk atas INTP mengindikasikan melambatnya aksi beli. BUY 18850
JSMR 4900-5300 (TP 2013F:6500) Pola Evening Doji Star terbentuk atas JSMR mengindikasikan melambatnya aksi beli. BUY 5050
INDF 6600-6900 (TP 2013F:8100) Pola Dragonfly Doji terbentuk atas INDF mengindikasikan melambatnya aksi beli. BUY 6650
GGRM 36000-37100 (TP 2013F:43300) Pola Bullish Engulfing terbentuk atas GGRM mengindikasikan Bullish Reversal. BUY 36350
MAPI 4775-4925 (TP 2013F:7400) Pola Morning Doji Star terbentuk atas MAPI mengindikasikan munculnya aksi beli. BUY 4825
AALI 21500-22300 (TP 2013F:23000) Pola Bullish Harami terbentuk atas AALI mengindikasikan Bullish Reversal. BUY 21850
SMGR 12700-13150 (TP 2013F:15050) Pola Bullish Harami terbentuk atas SMGR mengindikasikan Bullish Reversal. BUY 12850
BBCA 9550-9900 (TP 2013F:10400) Pola Bullish Harami Cross terbentuk atas BBCA mengindikasikan Bullish Reversal. BUY 9650
PTPP 1110-1200 (TP 2013F:1490) Pola Bullish Harami Cross terbentuk atas PTPP mengindikasikan Bullish Reversal. BUY 1130
WIKA 1590-1670 (TP 2013F:2200) Pola White Bullish Harami Cross terbentuk atas WIKA mengindikasikan Bullish Reversal. BUY 1620 (ES CSA®-MNC Sec/Disc On)
Good morning,
U.S. stocks gained on Wednesday, with a positive read on consumer confidence spreading cheer just before the holiday shopping season and as Hewlett-Packard helped ignite a rally in technology shares.
Dow.........16097 +24.5 +0.15%
Nasdaq......4045 +27.0 +0.67%
S&P 500.....1807 +4.5 +0.25%
FTSE..........6649 +13.2 +0.20%
DAX...........9351 +61.1 +0.66%
CAC...........4293 +15.5 +0.36%
Nikkei......15450 -65.6 -0.42%
HSI..........23806 +125.1 +0.53%
Shanghai...2201 +18.0 +0.82%
Kospi.........2029 +6.2 +0.31%
ST Times...3172 -1.4 -0.05%
PSE...........6054 +28.5 +0.47%
Indo10Yr. 8.678%-0.018 -0.21%
US10Yr.....2.74%+0.04 +1.48%
VIX...........12.98 +0.17 +1.33%
USD Index80.701+0.09 +0.12%
Como Indx.273.50-1.27 -0.46%
DJUSCL......131.45+0.68 +0.52%
(Dow Jones US Coal Index)
IndoCDS.....237.49+11.99+5.31%
(5-yr INOCD5)
Oil.........92.24 -1.61 -1.72%
Gold....1238.34 -4.22 -0.34%
IDR......11886+121+1.03%(
Kurs Tengah BI 11813 vs 11765
Euro.....1.3579 +0.0008 +0.059%
TLKM..36.28 +0.55 +1.54%Rp2156
BumiPlc...222 +2.00 +0.91%
EIDO........23.25 +0.03 +0.13%
Timah......22645 -225 -0.98%
Nickel......13275 -205 -1.52%
Coal.........82.80 +0.20 +0.24%
CPO........2640 +18+0.69%$817
Corn.........426.50 +1.75 +0.41%
SoybeanOil.40.25 -0.35 -0.86%
Wheat.........663.5 +7.50 +1.14%
DOC(24Sep)6750
(DE/ls- 28-11-13)
Trust Morning Call Thr(28/11)
Pasca aksi jual stlh tanggapi negatif makin mlemahnya Rp, kali ini laju IHSG dpt b’balik menguat. Pelaku psr memanfaatkan hijaunya psr shm AS stlh dirilis knaikan building permits &
home prices index. Pnguatan tsb terjadi ketika laju Rp menjauhi level support yg sehrsnya dpt t’jaga. Laju psr shm China & sekitar; adanya
nett buy asing; serta pembukaan psr shm Eropa yg positif turut berikan sentimen positif.
Jelang akhir bln pada mid pekan ini, laju Rp bukannya mbaik malah tmbh tdk menarik seiring lajunya yg mbuat mood pelaku psr lsg hilang. Penilaian pelaku psr thdp neraca perdagangan & pmbyrn Ind. krn jelang akhir bulan ini turut mnambah sentimen plemahan Rp. Rp11820-11777(kurs tngh BI).
Laju psr shm Asia cenderung naik meski sempat mlemah di awal sesi. Sentimen dari perbaikan Trd Blnce New Zealand; naiknya construction work done Australia; & penurunan suku bunga Thailand 25 bps mjd 2,25% turut topang laju penguatan psr shm Asia.
Laju psr shm Eropa kembali menghijau didukung rilis knaikan cons. confidence Jerman. Tak ketinggalan, rilis data knaikan GDP growth rate Inggris juga turut mbuat laju psr shm Eropa menghijau.
Laju psr shm AS dpt b’tahan dlm zona hijaunya seiring rilis penurunan tdk t’duga klaim pengangguran. Rilis data2 ek. lainnya dari trnnya durable goods order & chicago PMI seolah-oleh tertutup-tutupi dng sentimen dari data ketenagakerjaan tsb.
Next.....
LOTS Trading Club™ | lots.co.id
Lautandhana Securindo | YJ
Global Market Statistics 28 Nov 2013
DJIA.........16097 +24.5 +0.15%
S&P 500....1807 +4.48 +0.25%
Nasdaq......4045 +27.0 +0.67%
FTSE..........6649 +13.2 +0.20%
CAC...........4293 +15.5 +0.36%
DAX...........9351 +61.1 +0.66%
Nikkei......15449 -65.6 -0.42%
HSI..........23806 +125. +0.53%
US10Yr.......2.74 +0.03 +1.11%
EUR........1.3575 +0.00 +0.01%
IDR..........11886 +121. +1.03%
EIDO.........23.25 +0.03 +0.13%
TLK...........36.28 +0.55 +1.54%
BUMI Plc...222.0 +2.00 +0.91%
CrudeOil...92.30 -1.38 -1.47%
Gold..........1237 -6.10 -0.49%
Tin...........22645 -225. -0.98%
Nickel......13275 -150. -1.12%
Coal.........82.80 +0.20 +0.24%
CPO......RM2640 +18.0 +0.69%
DOC..........6750 (24 Sep 2013)
Global Market Snapshot
=================
• U.S. stocks rose, with the S&P 500 index and the Dow closing at records, as jobless claims unexpectedly fell and measures of consumer confidence beat estimates.
• Bernanke and his colleagues are suffering through their own form of cognitive dissonance: revealing new concerns about the economy’s long-term prospects even as they forecast faster growth in 2014.
• Greenspan said the U.S. economy probably will grow more slowly next year than some forecasters predict and indicated that a record U.S. stock market isn’t in a bubble.
• Orders for durable goods dropped in October, pointing to a slowdown in U.S. business investment that will curb U.S. economic growth this quarter.
• BI has targeted for current account deficit to stand at a sustainable level or between 0.25% and 2.5% of GDP in line with the latest economic situation.
• Rupiah forwards fell by the most in 2-months on concern the country’s current-account and trade gaps aren’t narrowing fast enough to restore investor confidence.
HPE CPO Desember 2013 Naik 11%
Kementerian Perdagangan menaikkan Harga Patokan Ekspor minyak sawit mentah (crude palm oil/CPO) periode Desember 2013 sebesar 11% dibandingkan dengan bulan sebelumnya menjadi US$841 per metrik ton.
Kementerian Perdagangan menaikkan Harga Patokan Ekspor minyak sawit mentah (crude palm oil/CPO) periode Desember 2013 sebesar 11% dibandingkan dengan bulan sebelumnya menjadi US$841 per metrik ton.
Bisnis)
Disclaimer: This broadcast is for informational purposes and should not be construed as a solicitation or offer to buy or sell securities or related financial instruments
IHSG
Spt 4219-4238
Rst 4284-4296
Homing pigeon dekati lower bollinger bands (LBB)
•BBCA Spt9500-9600 Rst9850-9900|Bullish harami cross. RSI mencoba upreversal|Trd buy selama up9650
•SMGR Spt12500-12750 Rst13050-13150|Bullish harami pada middle bollinger band|Trd buy slm up12850
•PGAS Spt4550-4625 Rst4775-4600|White marubozu. Stochastic upreversal|Trd buy selama up4700
•AKRA Spt4525-4600 Rst4750-4800|Tweezers bottom di atas LBB|Trd buy selama up4650
Lainnya:
AALI 21200-22350|Trd buy selama up21800
MAIN 3325-3575|Trd buy selama up3425
BSDE 1310-1430|Trd buy selama up1380
INDF 6500-6850|Trd buy selama up6650
ELSA 300-345|Trd buy selama up320
Off Live on air|Still fly to Investor Summit
(ErPe|TrustSec|Disclm.On)
News Headlines
http://mobile.cnbc.com/us_
It’s the end of the end of the world: Nomura
CNBC.com | November 27, 2013 | 08:07 AM EST
The global financial crisis will not dominate stock markets next year, according to Japanese investment bank Nomura - because it has come to an end.
In a note entitled "You've got to earn, baby, earn" published Tuesday, the bank's equity research team led by Michael Kurtz said that as a result, it had shifted its global equity strategy approach for 2014.
"There wasn't any memo, but FYI the Global Financial Crisis is over," Kurtz wrote.
(Read more: Oppenheimer has a wild 2014 market prediction )
As evidence for this, he identified a string of improving economic indicators including the strengthening of the U.S.' property market, a reduction in the U.S.-China current account balance, the narrowing of cost differentials between Europe's core and periphery and the expansion of Europe's economy.
"Looking forward, we thus see 2014 as a year in which macrosystemic risks will not dominate equity performance – unfinished QE 'taper' business notwithstanding – but equally as a result, a year in which returns will not be spirited along by 'risk compression' and multiple expansion either," he wrote.
THIS WEEK :
28 NOVEMBER
-RUPSLB BABP, ALTO
-PUBEX : ASII, BFIN, BRMS, ELSA, ICBP, INTP, KKGI, MEDC, SIMP, WIIM, UNTR, ANTM
- Cum Dev BBCA Rp45
-Cum stock split ROTI 1:5
-PUBEX : ANTM, BBRI, BFIN, BJBR, BNLI, SIMP, MEDC, LPKR, BRMS, ELSA, ICBP, INTP, KKGI, UNTR, WIIM, WIKA
-INVESTOR SUMMIT : TINS, BBCA, SGRO, PGAS, BBTN, SSIA, PTBA, LSIP, AUTO, ITMG, APLN, TLKM, ICBP, BMRI, INTP, ASII, ASSA, TBLA, JPFA, ANTM, BBRI, WIKA, LPKR, SIMP, MEDC, TBLA
-Debt Switch (Auction) of Goverment Securities 2013
-Bukopin will issue 2.66b new shares (33% of outstanding shares), with ratio of 125,000(O): 41,657(n).
· Offering price is at IDR650-700 per share.
· Effective date for the secondary offering: 28 November 2013
· Trading period: 12-18 December 2013
29 November
-Pubex : INTA, AKKU, ASBI, DEWA, DOID, ITMA, KBLV, PSDN
-Cum Right Issue Provident Agro (PALM) 7:3 (440)
-Cum Right Issue ATPK Resources 10:53 (220)
-Cum Dev INCO $0.00252/shr (~Rp28.98)
-CUM DEV LPKR RP 11,85
-CENT berencana utk menyelesaikan sbyk 4.319.000 shm treasury stock yg diperseroan melalui penjualan kembali melalui BEI Mulai tgl 20 Nov - 29 Nov 2013 (Trimegah yg akan mekakukan eksekusi)
30 NOVEMBER
Modernland (MDLN) has received Rp520bn (bank loan) from Standard Chartered Bank, this is on top of MDLN recently issued bond of USD150mn. The total of Rp2.2tn will be used to secure the funding to acquire the remaining 51% stake of Keppel Land in Jakarta Garden City project. The transaction settlement date is due on the 30th November; Keppel reported that MDLN has paid the 10% DP of Rp229.4bn.
------------------------------
28112013 (1)
TECH_CORNER
IHSG (4.251)
Range: 4.191 – 4.315
---Indeks naik day to day namun turun intraday dan masih dalam fase downtrend. Stochastic, RSI, dan MACD masih negatif.
IHSG diperkirakan akan melemah dengan support tutup gap di 4.191 sementara resist 4.315.
INDY (660)
Rekomendasi: Buy On Weakness
---Harga turun namun volume rendah dan tutup diluar area lower band. Stochastic berimpitan di area oversold sementara RSI dan MACD masih negatif.
Support dan entry level di 630 sementara resist di 730. Stoploss jika break & close dibawah 620.
ASRI (480)
Rekomendasi: Spec BUY
---Candle berpola full white body tutup di atas resist EMA5. Volume masih belum ada peningkatan signifikan. Konfirmasi reversal jika mampu bertahan di atas 490 dengan target harga 530.
Support 470, cut loss jika closed di bawah 460.
LPKR (910)
Rekomendasi: Spec BUY
---Harga mencoba break resist EMA10 di 920 namun masih tertahan. Spec BUY jika mampu tembus 920 dengan volume yang kuat.
Target terdekat 990, stoploss jika closing di bawah 860.
(Disclaimer on)
Market Research - First Asia Capital (PC) 28/11/2013
* IHSG kemarin berhasil rebound terbatas ditutup di 4251,489 menguat 16,228 poin (0,38%) setelah perdagangan hari sebelumnya tertekan hingga 99 poin. Penguatan indeks terutama ditopang aksi beli saham PGAS dan TLKM dan rebound sejumlah saham properti. Namun perdagangan berlangsung dengan nilai transaksi yang tipis tidak sampai Rp.4 triliun di Pasar Reguler. Ini mengindikasikan pelaku pasar masih menghindari pembelian secara massif menyusul pergerakan nilai tukar rupiah atas dolar AS yang masih melemah dimana kemarin menembus level Rp.11800.
* Memburuknya perekonomian domestik diperkirakan masih akan berlangsung hingga paruh pertama tahun depan menyusul pengurangan stimulus The Fed dan membengkaknya defisit transaksi berjalan membuat nilai tukar rupiah cenderung melemah yang bisa memicu bank sentral kembali menaikkan tingkat bunga acuannya dari saat ini di 7,5%.
* Sementara tadi malam Wall Street melanjutkan tren penguatannya. Indeks DJIA dan S&P masing-masing menguat 0,15% dan 0,25% ditutup di 16097,33 dan 1807,23. Sejumlah data ekonomi AS yang keluar menjadi pendorong penguatan indeks saham di Wall Street. Indeks sentimen konsumen di AS November naik di atas ekspektasi mencapai 75,1 berbanding 73,1. Leading Index of Economic Indicators AS naik 0,2% Oktober lalu di atas perkiraan sebelumnya 0,1%.
* Pada perdagangan hari ini pergerakan IHSG diperkirakan mencoba bergerak ke resisten di 4270 hingga 4300. Sedangkan level support ada di 4200. IHSG berpeluang menguat terbatas dipicu sejumlah isu individual emiten terutama yang bergerak di sektor infrastruktur.
IHSG : S1 4200 S2 4170 R1 4270 R2 4300
Saham Pilihan
PGAS 4600-4825 TB, SL 4400
TLKM 2100-2225 TB, SL 2000
ASII 6250-6600 TB, SL 6100
INDF 6500-6900 TB, SL 6300
SMGR 12500- 13100 BoW, SL 12400
INCO 2300-2525 BoW, SL 2250
ASRI 455-495 TB, SL 490
CTRA 720-770 TB, SL 690
Disclaimer On
First Asia Research
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