selamat pagi, surabaya yg cerah
Good morning,
Stocks recovered from their lows but still finished slightly lower Friday, breaking a four-day winning streak, weighed by a batch of disappointing economic reports and a day after the Dow and S&P 500 posted record highs.
The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX), widely considered the best gauge of fear in the market, ended near 12.
For the week, the Dow jumped 2.06 percent, the S&P 500 rallied 2.29 percent, and the Nasdaq soared 2.84 percent.
Energy stocks tumbled as commodities staged a broad selloff. Gold prices plunged to settle near $1,500 an ounce, dropping more than 20 percent from its record 2011 highs and putting it in bear market territory for the first time after 12 years of gains. Meanwhile, oil prices slumped to an eight-month low.
Meanwhile, producer prices recorded their biggest drop in 10 months, falling 0.6 percent in March as the cost of gasoline tumbled, according to the Labor Department, giving further reason for the Federal Reserve to maintain its accommodative monetary policy. Economists surveyed by Reuters expected a decline of 0.2 percent.
Dow 14865 -0.08 -0%
Nasdaq 3294 -5.21 -0.16%
S&P 500 1588 -4.5 -0.28%
FTSE 6384 -31.8 -0.49%
Dax 7744 -126.9 -1.61%
CAC40 3729 -46,4 -1.23%
VIX. 12.06 -0.18 -1.47%
USD Index 82.31 +0.06 +0.08%
(DXY)
Oil. 91.29 -2.22 -2.73%
Gold. 1482.75 -78.75-5.04%
IDR. 9717(source: yahoo finance)
Euro. 1.3103
TLKM. 45.86 +0.93+2.07%Rp11140
ISAT. 33.46 +0.63+1.92%Rp6503
BumiPlc 294.00 -6.00 -2.00%
EIDO. 34.10 -0.28 -0.81%
Timah. 21875 -775 -3.73%
Nickel. 15750 -375 -2.22%
CPO. 2345RM -8-0.34%$770
Corn. 641.25 +7.75 +1.22%
SoybeanOil 49.23 +4.50 +1.15%
Wheat. 719.50 +16.25+2.31%
DOC(13 Apr)5500 +0 +0.00%
(DE/ls- 15-04-13)
APRIL 2013
THIS WEEK :
15 April
-RUPSLB : DNET,
-ASRI Analyst Meeting
-Net Long-Term TIC Flows, NAHB Housing Market Index, Empire Manufacturing
16 April
-Lelang SBN
-Cum Dev BJBR Rp 68,4637
-RUPSLB/T : TMPO (PUBEX), AISA, ELSA, SSIA,
-CPI, Core CPI, Housing Starts, Building Permits, Industrial Production, Capacity Utilization
17 April
-RUPSLB/T : AUTO, TBIG, PGAS, MEGA,
-BHIT mau roadshow ke Singapore-Hongkong-London dan New York tgl 17-23 April 2013
-MBA Mortgage Index, Crude Inventories, Fed's Beige Book,
18 April
-Cum Dev BJTM Rp 39,7384
-ASIAN BOND FUND - Indonesia RUPUP
-RUPSLB/T : WSKT, ASGR, HMSP, TINS, TGKA, TURI,
-Akhir perdagangan trim-r 1:1 Rp80
-ENRG PMT HMETD (10% atau 4.058.411.000 lbr, harga pelaksanaan Rp 100) Tanggal Penerbitan Saham Baru : 18 April 2013
- We expect weak 1Q13 result to be announced on 18 April 2013. Our recent talk with Bank Danamon (BDMN.IJ) confirmed our view that the bank will follow a similar trend as Adira Finance, which saw 11% YoY drop in consumer financing to IDR7t in 1Q13.
-Initial Claims, Continuing Claims, Philadelphia Fed, Leading Indicators, Natural Gas Inventories
19 April
-RUPSLB/T : TRIO, ADRO, TMAS, TLKM (akan usulkan pembagian dividen tunai 65% dari laba bersih sekitar Rp414/saham), ADHI
-Stock split JPFA akan resmi pada 19 April 2013.
-Cum Dev DKFT Rp 50/saham
-ENRG PMT HMETD (10% atau 4.058.411.000 lbr, harga pelaksanaan Rp 100) Tanggal Pencatatan saham baru PMT -HMETD : 19 April 2013
Monday (15/04/2013) Early BIRD Fundamental Perspective (Edwin Sebayang-MNC Securities)
STRONG SELL FOR GOLD BASIS STOCKS
Fokus minggu ini tertuju atas release earnings Q1/2013 dmn ada 74 emiten dlm S&P 500 didominasi Sektor Keuangan yg akan merelease LK nya shg dpt mempengaruhi pergerakan pasar spt: Citigroup (Senin); BlackRock, Coca-Cola, Goldman Sachs, Johnson & Johnson, US Bancorp, Intel, Yahoo (Selasa); Abbott Labs, Bank of America, Bank of NY Mellon, American Express, Ebay, Noble, Sandisk (Rabu); Morgan Stanley, PepsiCo, Philip Morris, United Health, Verizon, Nokia, Google, IBM, Microsoft, Capital One (Kamis) & McDonald's, Schlumberger, Honeywell (Jumat).
Disamping itu, bbrp data ekonomi penting yg perlu diperhatikan spt: Empire state mfg survey, housing market index (Senin); CPI, housing starts, industrial production (Selasa); Mortgage applications, Beige Book (Rabu); Jobless claims, Philadelphia Fed survey, leading indicators (Kamis), sementara Jumat kosong.
Diluar AS, laporan ekonomi negara besar yg perlu diperhatikan spt: China (Real GDP, Retail Sales, Industrial Production); Japan (Industrial Production, Capacity Utilization, Consumer Confidence) Zona Euro (CPI, German ZEW Survey, PPI).
Dari dalam negeri, setelah mengetahui gold masuk teritory bearish & proyeksi gold berpeluang turun kembali 20% (menuju $1200) dlm kurun 12 bln kedepan, maka sgt bijak jika melakukan strategi SELL atau AVOID atas saham berbasis gold krn pastinya Revenue & Earnings mrk akan kena "hit" kedepannya. Diluar saham berbasis komoditas, kinerja emiten Q1/2013 ES perkirakan masih akan kuat terlihat salah satu contohnya dari kinerja CTRA mencatatkan marketing sales (pra penjualan) sekitar Rp2,8 triliun (annualized Rp 11.2 triliun) pd Q1/2013 dari target marketing sales 2013 sekitar Rp10,3 triliun.
Monday IDX Range: 4912-4962
BUY: ITMG, BBCA, BSDE, BMRI, SMGR, UNTR, GGRM, TLKM, WIKA, AKRA
BOW: ASII, PGAS, INTP, MAPI (ES-MNC Sec/Disc On)
"Have a Stunning Monday & GBU All"
Tidak ada komentar:
Posting Komentar